Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Novo Hamburgo vs EC Sao Jose (PA)

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho Estadio do Vale
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Danilo Guimaraes
40'
Luam Parede
46'
Sub
Danilo Guimaraes In: William
Out: Danilo Guimaraes

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Gaucho matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Novo Hamburgo
30%
Draws
34%
EC Sao Jose (PA)
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Novo Hamburgo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Novo Hamburgo have won more games recently than EC Sao Jose (PA).
  • Model gives Novo Hamburgo a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Gaucho form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Novo Hamburgo Clean Sheet 68%
EC Sao Jose (PA) Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Novo Hamburgo EC Sao Jose (PA)
Matches Played 29 25
Wins 11 9
Draws 10 9
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.5 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Gaucho
EC Sao Jose (PA) vs Novo Hamburgo
1:2
Feb 14, 2026 Gaucho
Novo Hamburgo vs EC Sao Jose (PA)
3:2
Jan 17, 2026 Gaucho
Novo Hamburgo vs EC Sao Jose (PA)
0:0
Feb 26, 2024 Gaucho
EC Sao Jose (PA) vs Novo Hamburgo
3:0
Mar 11, 2023 Gaucho
Novo Hamburgo vs EC Sao Jose (PA)
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novo Hamburgo 46 / 100
EC Sao Jose (PA) 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Novo Hamburgo EC Sao Jose (PA)

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Novo Hamburgo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Novo Hamburgo found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

EC Sao Jose (PA) let in goals in 52% of their last 25 matches.

Scoring Trends

Novo Hamburgo VS EC Sao Jose (PA)
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Internacional650114:515
2EC Juventude63308:312
3EC Sao Jose (PA)62314:39
4Sao Luiz61416:107
5Avenida61234:95
6Guarany de Bage61234:105
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gremio631214:610
2SER Caxias do Sul62138:57
3Ypiranga FC61417:97
4Novo Hamburgo61325:56
5Monsoon61325:116
6Inter Santa Maria61231:45