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Novo Hamburgo vs Farroupilha

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Gaucho 2005
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Gaucho 2005 game between Novo Hamburgo and Farroupilha finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Farroupilha.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Novo Hamburgo
15%
Draws
39%
Farroupilha
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Novo Hamburgo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Novo Hamburgo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Novo Hamburgo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Novo Hamburgo Clean Sheet 20%
Farroupilha Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Novo Hamburgo Farroupilha
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 5
Draws 10 8
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.28 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2005 Gaucho
Farroupilha vs Novo Hamburgo
3:2
Feb 14, 2005 Gaucho
Novo Hamburgo vs Farroupilha
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novo Hamburgo 49 / 100
Farroupilha 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Novo Hamburgo Farroupilha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Novo Hamburgo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Farroupilha's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Novo Hamburgo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Farroupilha registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Novo Hamburgo VS Farroupilha
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Novo Hamburgo

(Home)
06 Mar
Novo Hamburgo
1 : 1
Sao Luiz
02 Mar
Sao Luiz
1 : 0
Novo Hamburgo
22 Feb
EC Sao Jose (PA)
1 : 2
Novo Hamburgo
14 Feb
Novo Hamburgo
3 : 2
EC Sao Jose (PA)
07 Feb
Gremio
1 : 0
Novo Hamburgo
Page 1 of 6

Farroupilha

(Away)
26 Sept
Farroupilha
2 : 1
Cruz Alta
20 Sept
SC Sao Paulo
2 : 1
Farroupilha
12 Sept
Farroupilha
0 : 2
Futvida
06 Sept
Clube 1992
1 : 2
Farroupilha
17 Jun
Farroupilha
1 : 2
GE Bage
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 GE Gloria 10 6 2 2 19:9 20
2 Internacional 10 4 3 3 9:6 15
3 Veranopolis 10 4 2 4 15:13 14
4 Farroupilha 10 3 4 3 16:17 13
5 Santa Cruz RS 10 3 3 4 10:15 12
6 Novo Hamburgo 10 2 2 6 10:19 8
Promotion - Campeonato Gaucho 2005 (Second stage)
Promotion - Campeonato Gaucho 2005 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SER Caxias do Sul 10 5 3 2 17:9 18
2 Brasil de Pelotas 10 5 2 3 16:14 17
3 Gremio 10 4 2 4 16:14 14
4 Sao Gabriel 10 3 3 4 15:19 12
5 G.E. Sao Jose 10 3 2 5 13:18 11
6 EC Guarani 10 2 4 4 9:12 10
Promotion - Campeonato Gaucho 2005 (Second stage)
Promotion - Campeonato Gaucho 2005 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Clube 15 Novembro 10 9 0 1 26:12 27
2 EC Juventude 10 4 2 4 15:12 14
3 Passo Fundo 10 3 3 4 17:17 12
4 Canoas 10 3 3 4 14:18 12
5 Esportivo Bento Goncalves 10 2 4 4 13:15 10
6 EC Sao Jose (PA) 10 2 2 6 9:20 8
Promotion - Campeonato Gaucho 2005 (Second stage)
Promotion - Campeonato Gaucho 2005 (Second stage)