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Novoperario vs Ivinhema

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense 2023
Novoperario Logo

Novoperario

2 - 1
FT
Ivinhema Logo

Ivinhema

Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
26' Event
(Penalty)
49' Event
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Novoperario in this Sul-Matogrossense 2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Novoperario.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Novoperario
35%
Draws
32%
Ivinhema
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Ivinhema have won more games recently than Novoperario.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Novoperario Clean Sheet 68%
Ivinhema Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Novoperario Ivinhema
Matches Played 29 44
Wins 6 15
Draws 6 12
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 1.07 1.48
Goals Conceded 2.24 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense
Novoperario vs Ivinhema
3:2
Jan 21, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense
Ivinhema vs Novoperario
3:0
Mar 19, 2023 Sul-Matogrossense
Ivinhema vs Novoperario
1:1
Feb 18, 2023 Sul-Matogrossense
Novoperario vs Ivinhema
2:1
Apr 4, 2015 Sul-Matogrossense
Ivinhema vs Novoperario
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novoperario 41 / 100
Ivinhema 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Novoperario Ivinhema

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Novoperario Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ivinhema has conceded goals in 80% of their last 44 outings.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Novoperario went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Novoperario scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ivinhema
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Novoperario

(Home)
02 Mar
Novoperario
0 : 0
Dourados
24 Feb
Aquidauanense
2 : 0
Novoperario
21 Feb
Novoperario
1 : 1
Corumbaense
17 Feb
Novoperario
3 : 2
Ivinhema
04 Feb
Dourados
2 : 1
Novoperario
Page 1 of 6

Ivinhema

(Away)
12 Jul
ASA
4 : 0
Ivinhema
06 Jul
Ivinhema
1 : 2
ASA
29 Jun
Democrata GV
1 : 1
Ivinhema
21 Jun
Ivinhema
3 : 1
Democrata GV
14 Jun
CRAC
1 : 1
Ivinhema
Page 1 of 9

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Costa Rica 8 6 1 1 15:6 19
2 Operario MS 8 5 0 3 13:8 15
3 Chapadao 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
4 Coxim 8 2 2 4 4:11 8
5 Comercial MS 8 0 2 6 4:12 2
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dourados 8 6 1 1 11:5 19
2 Ivinhema 8 3 2 3 14:9 11
3 Novoperario 8 3 2 3 11:10 11
4 Aquidauanense 8 3 1 4 9:15 10
5 Operario AC 8 1 2 5 9:15 5
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2023 (Play Offs)