Sport Picks

Brazil

Paulista U20

Desportivo U20

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Novorizontino U20 play Desportivo U20 in the Paulista U20. It looks like a close match. Recently, Novorizontino U20 averaged 1.48 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. Desportivo U20 averaged 1.32 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. In past meetings, Novorizontino U20 won 0, Desportivo U20 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 5, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.84 for Novorizontino U20 and 1.12 for Desportivo U20. This points to a Novorizontino U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%

Novorizontino U20

22%

Draws

37%

Desportivo U20

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Novorizontino U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Novorizontino U20 picked up more points recently compared to Desportivo U20.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.84 vs 1.12 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 72%

Over 2.5 Goals 53%

Over 3.5 Goals 32%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%

Novorizontino U20 Clean Sheet 21%

Desportivo U20 Clean Sheet 17%

First Half Goal 65%

Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Novorizontino U20	Desportivo U20
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	13	10
Draws	6	6
Losses	10	12
Goals Scored	1.48	1.32
Goals Conceded	1.17	1.57
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	0.43

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2026 Paulista U20

Novorizontino U20 vs Desportivo U20

Possession: 51% - 55% Cards: 3 - 4

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Novorizontino U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Desportivo U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ponciano M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.78

Avg xA / game 0.48

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novorizontino U20 41 / 100

Desportivo U20 37 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Novorizontino U20 Desportivo U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Novorizontino U20 or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +24.2%

3.03

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.9%

2.13

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Novorizontino U20 attacking → ← attacking Desportivo U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Novorizontino U20 scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Desportivo U20 let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Novorizontino U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Desportivo U20 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 36

1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.86

1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.43

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ferroviaria U20	5	4	1	0	10:1	13
2	CA Juventus U20	5	4	0	1	15:5	12
3	Corinthians U20	4	3	1	0	4:0	10
4	Santos U20	4	2	2	0	4:0	8
5	Portuguesa U20	4	2	1	1	7:4	7
6	Ponte Preta U20	5	2	1	2	5:6	7
7	Portuguesa Santista U20	5	2	1	2	9:11	7
8	Jabaquara U20	5	2	0	3	3:4	6
9	Sao Bento U20	5	1	1	3	5:7	4
10	Uniao Suzano U20	4	1	1	2	4:7	4
11	Sertaozinho U20	4	1	1	2	1:4	4
12	Itapirense U20	4	1	0	3	5:9	3
13	America SP U20	5	1	0	4	1:10	3
14	Mirassol U20	5	0	2	3	4:9	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ibrachina U20	5	5	0	0	15:2	15
2	Osasco Sporting U20	5	4	0	1	9:6	12
3	Desportivo U20	5	4	0	1	6:3	12
4	Sao Paulo U20	4	3	1	0	7:0	10
5	Aguai U20	6	2	2	2	7:11	8
6	Santo Andre U20	6	2	1	3	8:8	7
7	Uniao Sao Joao U20	6	1	3	2	5:5	6
8	Paulinense U20	6	1	3	2	6:8	6
9	Novorizontino U20	5	1	2	2	7:6	5
10	EC Sao Bernardo U20	4	1	2	1	4:6	5
11	Sao Caetano U20	6	1	1	4	7:12	4
12	Bandeirante U20	6	1	1	4	4:10	4
13	Botafogo SP U20	5	0	4	1	5:6	4
14	Piracicaba U20	5	0	4	1	4:6	4
15	Velo Clube U20	6	0	4	2	4:9	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Palmeiras U20	4	4	0	0	9:0	12
2	Bragantino U20	4	4	0	0	12:4	12
3	Guarani U20	5	4	0	1	9:5	12
4	Agua Santa U20	6	3	2	1	13:7	11
5	Gremio Prudente U20	6	3	1	2	9:8	10
6	Sfera U20	6	3	0	3	14:6	9
7	Osasco Audax U20	6	2	2	2	6:5	8
8	XV de Jau U20	5	2	1	2	4:6	7
9	Flamengo SP U20	6	2	0	4	5:12	6
10	Capivariano U20	5	1	3	1	5:6	6
11	Ituano U20	5	1	3	1	6:8	6
12	Tanabi U20	6	1	2	3	7:11	5
13	Maua FC U20	6	1	2	3	4:11	5
14	Referencia U20	5	0	1	4	4:11	1
15	Porto Football U20	5	0	1	4	0:7	1