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Novorizontino U20 vs IAPE U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Copa do Brasil U20 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Luduena Coronel M.
77' Event
Ferreira K.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Copa do Brasil U20 2025 tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Novorizontino U20
30%
Draws
23%
IAPE U20
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Novorizontino U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • IAPE U20 haven't matched Novorizontino U20's recent run of results.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Novorizontino U20 taking it.
  • Novorizontino U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Novorizontino U20 Clean Sheet 68%
IAPE U20 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Novorizontino U20 IAPE U20
Matches Played 30 21
Wins 12 10
Draws 9 4
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.4 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 19, 2025 Copa do Brasil U20
IAPE U20 vs Novorizontino U20
1:0
Nov 12, 2025 Copa do Brasil U20
Novorizontino U20 vs IAPE U20
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Novorizontino U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Luduena Coronel M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

IAPE U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novorizontino U20 77 / 100
IAPE U20 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Novorizontino U20 IAPE U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Novorizontino U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Novorizontino U20 scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

IAPE U20 let in goals in 62% of their last 21 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Novorizontino U20 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Novorizontino U20 VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Novorizontino U20

(Home)
27 Sept
Novorizontino U20
1 : 1
Portuguesa Santista U20
19 Sept
Portuguesa Santista U20
2 : 1
Novorizontino U20
12 Sept
Novorizontino U20
1 : 0
Aguai U20
04 Sept
Paulinense U20
1 : 4
Novorizontino U20
22 Aug
Novorizontino U20
2 : 1
Osasco Sporting U20
Page 1 of 6

IAPE U20

(Away)
03 Dec
IAPE U20
2 : 5
America MG U20
26 Nov
America MG U20
1 : 0
IAPE U20
19 Nov
IAPE U20
1 : 0
Novorizontino U20
12 Nov
Novorizontino U20
1 : 1
IAPE U20
05 Nov
IAPE U20
1 : 1
Monte Roraima U20
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Tocantinopolis U20 3
Rolim de Moura U20 0
Paysandu PA U20 4
Mazagao U20 1
America MG U20 1
Vila Nova FC U20 0
Vasco U20 3
Cuiaba U20 0
Fast Clube U20 1
Monte Roraima U20 2
IAPE U20 1
Santa Cruz AC U20 0
Coritiba U20 0
Novorizontino U20 1
Criciuma U20 1
Operario PR U20 2
CRB U20 1
America RN U20 0
Sport Recife U20 3
Sergipe U20 0
Atletico-MG U20 3
Real Brasilia U20 0
Flamengo RJ U20 4
Porto Vitoria U20 0
Gremio U20 1
EC Sao Jose (PA) U20 0
Sao Paulo U20 8
Operario AC U20 0
Fortaleza U20 5
Piaui U20 0
Bahia U20 7
Cruzeiro-PB U20 0
1/8-finals
Tocantinopolis U20 0
Paysandu PA U20 6
America MG U20 4
Vasco U20 3
Monte Roraima U20 2
IAPE U20 3
Novorizontino U20 4
Operario PR U20 2
CRB U20 1
Sport Recife U20 3
Atletico-MG U20 3
Flamengo RJ U20 2
Gremio U20 1
Sao Paulo U20 2
Fortaleza U20 4
Bahia U20 3
Quarter-finals
Paysandu PA U20 1
America MG U20 2
IAPE U20 2
Novorizontino U20 1
Sport Recife U20 2
Atletico-MG U20 3
Sao Paulo U20 2
Fortaleza U20 1
Semi-finals
America MG U20 6
IAPE U20 2
Atletico-MG U20 1
Sao Paulo U20 3
Final
America MG U20 1
Sao Paulo U20 2