Sport Picks
Novorizontino vs America MG
Brazil
Copa Sul-Sudeste Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi, Novo Horizonte 
Match Events
37'
37'
Juninho
47'
47'
Hector Bianchi
56'
56'
Sub
Hector Bianchi In: Barcellos Arantes R.
Out: Hector Bianchi
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
60%
22%
18%
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Novorizontino
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
82%
/ Very High Confidence
- Novorizontino carry the better recent record into this one.
- 60% — that's where the model lands on Novorizontino taking it.
- Novorizontino have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Novorizontino, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Novorizontino Clean Sheet 68%
America MG Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Novorizontino | America MG |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 4 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 7 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.88 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 12, 2026 Serie B
America MG vs Novorizontino
0:3
Mar 26, 2026 Copa Sul-Sudeste
Novorizontino vs America MG
1:1
Nov 3, 2025 Serie B
America MG vs Novorizontino
2:2
Jul 12, 2025 Serie B
Novorizontino vs America MG
3:1
Aug 17, 2024 Serie B
Novorizontino vs America MG
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Novorizontino Compare
Top Goalscorer Juninho
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
America MG Compare
Top Goalscorer Segovia M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Novorizontino 68 / 100
America MG 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Novorizontino America MG
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick NOV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: America MG conceded in 93% of 28 recent games.
Attacking prowess: Novorizontino scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Novorizontino stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Novorizontino VS America MG
1.88 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Novorizontino
(Home) 18 Jul
Fortaleza
1 : 0 Novorizontino
12 Jul
Operario-PR
2 : 1 Novorizontino
04 Jul
Novorizontino
3 : 0 Atletico GO
26 Jun
Novorizontino
2 : 1 Vila Nova FC
22 Jun
Ponte Preta
0 : 2 Novorizontino
Page 1 of 6
04 Jul
Novorizontino
3 : 0 Atletico GO
26 Jun
Novorizontino
2 : 1 Vila Nova FC
14 Jun
Novorizontino
2 : 2 Nautico
23 May
Novorizontino
2 : 1 Ceara
20 May
Novorizontino
0 : 2 Chapecoense-SC
Page 1 of 3
America MG
(Away) 17 Jul
America MG
1 : 1 Ceara
13 Jul
America MG
1 : 1 Londrina
02 Jul
Cuiaba
1 : 0 America MG
27 Jun
Operario-PR
1 : 0 America MG
23 Jun
America MG
0 : 1 Criciuma
Page 1 of 6
02 Jul
Cuiaba
1 : 0 America MG
27 Jun
Operario-PR
1 : 0 America MG
16 Jun
Fortaleza
0 : 3 America MG
30 May
EC Juventude
3 : 0 America MG
16 May
Sao Bernardo
1 : 1 America MG
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chapecoense-SC | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 13 |
| 2 | Novorizontino | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:5 | 11 |
| 3 | SER Caxias do Sul | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:3 | 11 |
| 4 | Cianorte | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:10 | 8 |
| 5 | Tombense | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11:13 | 5 |
| 6 | Sampaio Correa FE | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | 5 |
Promotion - Copa Sul-Sudeste (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Avai | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 10 |
| 2 | Volta Redonda | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:8 | 10 |
| 3 | Operario-PR | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5:4 | 9 |
| 4 | America MG | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:11 | 8 |
| 5 | EC Juventude | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:9 | 4 |
| 6 | Sao Bernardo | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | 3 |
Promotion - Copa Sul-Sudeste (Play Offs)