Sport Picks
Novorizontino vs Avai
Brazil
Serie B Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi, Novo Horizonte 
Match Events
9'
9'
Madson
Assist: Robson
24'
24'
Allyson
Assist: Jean L.
34'
34'
Douglas Teixeira
AI Match Summary
Novorizontino in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Novorizontino.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
61%
20%
19%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Novorizontino
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
61%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Novorizontino lately — more wins on the board than Avai.
- Model gives Novorizontino a 61% chance of winning this.
- Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Novorizontino Clean Sheet 68%
Avai Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Novorizontino | Avai |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 32 |
| Wins | 14 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 7 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.69 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 Serie B
Novorizontino vs Avai
3:1
May 3, 2026 Serie B
Avai vs Novorizontino
3:3
Apr 30, 2026 Copa Sul-Sudeste
Novorizontino vs Avai
1:2
Aug 3, 2025 Serie B
Novorizontino vs Avai
1:1
Apr 6, 2025 Serie B
Avai vs Novorizontino
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Novorizontino Compare
Top Goalscorer Madson
1 Goals Assists Leader Robson
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Avai Compare
Top Goalscorer Allyson
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Novorizontino 95 / 100
Avai 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Novorizontino Avai
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Novorizontino Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
Novorizontino has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Novorizontino's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Defensive concern: Avai conceded in 75% of 32 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Novorizontino VS Avai
2.38 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Novorizontino
(Home) 13 Sept
Novorizontino
1 : 1 Cuiaba
09 Sept
Botafogo SP
1 : 3 Novorizontino
05 Sept
Novorizontino
3 : 1 Avai
28 Aug
Novorizontino
2 : 1 Sport Recife
24 Aug
Athletic Club
1 : 4 Novorizontino
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Novorizontino
1 : 1 Cuiaba
05 Sept
Novorizontino
3 : 1 Avai
28 Aug
Novorizontino
2 : 1 Sport Recife
20 Aug
Novorizontino
3 : 0 America MG
09 Aug
Novorizontino
0 : 1 EC Juventude
Page 1 of 3
Avai
(Away) 15 Sept
Avai
1 : 1 Vila Nova FC
09 Sept
Fortaleza
1 : 0 Avai
05 Sept
Novorizontino
3 : 1 Avai
30 Aug
Avai
0 : 1 Atletico GO
23 Aug
Ponte Preta
0 : 2 Avai
Page 1 of 7
09 Sept
Fortaleza
1 : 0 Avai
05 Sept
Novorizontino
3 : 1 Avai
23 Aug
Ponte Preta
0 : 2 Avai
16 Aug
Operario-PR
1 : 2 Avai
28 Jul
EC Juventude
1 : 0 Avai
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vila Nova FC | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 41:31 | 51 |
| 2 | Novorizontino | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 48:25 | 50 |
| 3 | EC Juventude | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 30:17 | 50 |
| 4 | Fortaleza | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 31:23 | 48 |
| 5 | Criciuma | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 28:25 | 47 |
| 6 | Atletico GO | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 36:26 | 46 |
| 7 | CRB | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 42:40 | 45 |
| 8 | Operario-PR | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 39:36 | 44 |
| 9 | Sport Recife | 28 | 10 | 11 | 7 | 37:28 | 41 |
| 10 | Athletic Club | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 33:30 | 40 |
| 11 | Cuiaba | 28 | 9 | 13 | 6 | 27:22 | 40 |
| 12 | Goias | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 28:34 | 39 |
| 13 | Sao Bernardo | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 39:31 | 38 |
| 14 | Nautico | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 35:33 | 38 |
| 15 | Ceara | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29:36 | 32 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 31:35 | 31 |
| 17 | Avai | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 29:36 | 30 |
| 18 | Londrina | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 38:39 | 28 |
| 19 | America MG | 29 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 21:49 | 17 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 28 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 16:62 | 10 |
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)
