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Novorizontino vs Avai - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Copa Sul-Sudeste Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi, Novo Horizonte
Novorizontino Logo

Novorizontino

1 - 2
FT
Avai Logo

Avai

Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Oliveira dos Santos J. V.
27' Event
Hector Bianchi
34'
Jhones
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Novorizontino
30%
Draws
23%
Avai
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Novorizontino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Novorizontino carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Novorizontino's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Novorizontino have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Avai, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Novorizontino Clean Sheet 68%
Avai Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Novorizontino Avai
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 15 11
Draws 8 6
Losses 6 17
Goals Scored 1.76 1.21
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Serie B
Novorizontino vs Avai
3:1
May 3, 2026 Serie B
Avai vs Novorizontino
3:3
Apr 30, 2026 Copa Sul-Sudeste
Novorizontino vs Avai
1:2
Aug 3, 2025 Serie B
Novorizontino vs Avai
1:1
Apr 6, 2025 Serie B
Avai vs Novorizontino
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Novorizontino Compare

Top Goalscorer Hector Bianchi
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Avai Compare

Top Goalscorer Oliveira dos Santos J. V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Walace Franca
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novorizontino 95 / 100
Avai 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Novorizontino Avai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Novorizontino Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Novorizontino scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Avai's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 34 matches.

Recent resilience: Novorizontino stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Novorizontino VS Avai
2.13 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Novorizontino

(Home)
08 Oct
Nautico
0 : 2
Novorizontino
02 Oct
Novorizontino
3 : 0
Goias
25 Sept
Novorizontino
0 : 0
Sao Bernardo
18 Sept
Ceara
2 : 1
Novorizontino
13 Sept
Novorizontino
1 : 1
Cuiaba
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Avai

(Away)
07 Oct
Avai
2 : 1
Londrina
03 Oct
Avai
0 : 1
Ceara
27 Sept
Criciuma
3 : 0
Avai
20 Sept
Goias
2 : 1
Avai
15 Sept
Avai
1 : 1
Vila Nova FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chapecoense-SC 6 4 1 1 8:5 13
2 Novorizontino 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
3 SER Caxias do Sul 6 3 2 1 6:3 11
4 Cianorte 6 2 2 2 9:10 8
5 Tombense 6 1 2 3 11:13 5
6 Sampaio Correa FE 6 1 2 3 7:9 5
Promotion - Copa Sul-Sudeste (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Avai 6 3 1 2 10:8 10
2 Volta Redonda 6 3 1 2 9:8 10
3 Operario-PR 6 2 3 1 5:4 9
4 America MG 6 2 2 2 11:11 8
5 EC Juventude 6 1 1 4 4:9 4
6 Sao Bernardo 6 0 3 3 6:9 3
Promotion - Copa Sul-Sudeste (Play Offs)