Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Novorizontino vs Palmeiras

Brazil Brazil

Paulista Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi, Novo Horizonte
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Murilo
14'
Lopez J.
25' Event
Matheus Bianqui

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Novorizontino
35%
Draws
34%
Palmeiras
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Palmeiras carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Novorizontino taking it.
  • Palmeiras arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Palmeiras, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Novorizontino Clean Sheet 20%
Palmeiras Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Novorizontino Palmeiras
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 15
Draws 8 11
Losses 8 4
Goals Scored 1.62 1.77
Goals Conceded 1 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Paulista
Novorizontino vs Palmeiras
1:2
Mar 4, 2026 Paulista
Palmeiras vs Novorizontino
1:0
Jan 20, 2026 Paulista
Novorizontino vs Palmeiras
4:0
Jan 25, 2025 Paulista
Palmeiras vs Novorizontino
1:2
Mar 29, 2024 Paulista
Palmeiras vs Novorizontino
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Novorizontino Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus Bianqui
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Palmeiras Compare

Top Goalscorer Murilo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vitor Roque
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novorizontino 42 / 100
Palmeiras 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Novorizontino Palmeiras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Novorizontino scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Novorizontino went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Palmeiras conceded in 50% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Novorizontino VS Palmeiras
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.25
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Novorizontino

(Home)
25 Sept
Novorizontino
0 : 0
Sao Bernardo
18 Sept
Ceara
2 : 1
Novorizontino
13 Sept
Novorizontino
1 : 1
Cuiaba
09 Sept
Botafogo SP
1 : 3
Novorizontino
05 Sept
Novorizontino
3 : 1
Avai
Page 1 of 6

Palmeiras

(Away)
20 Sept
Gremio
0 : 0
Palmeiras
16 Sept
LDU Quito
3 : 3
Palmeiras
12 Sept
Palmeiras
2 : 0
Sao Paulo
09 Sept
Palmeiras
1 : 0
LDU Quito
06 Sept
Botafogo RJ
0 : 0
Palmeiras
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Novorizontino 2
Santos 1
Portuguesa 1
Corinthians 2
Palmeiras 4
Capivariano 0
Bragantino 1
Sao Paulo 2
Semi-finals
Novorizontino 1
Corinthians 0
Palmeiras 2
Sao Paulo 1
Final
Novorizontino 1
Palmeiras 3