Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Novorizontino vs Sao Bernardo

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi, Novo Horizonte
Our Tip

Match Events

38'
Helder Maciel
58'
Augusto
60'
Sub
Felipe Garcia In: Fabricio Daniel
Out: Felipe Garcia

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Novorizontino and Sao Bernardo finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Novorizontino
30%
Draws
39%
Sao Bernardo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sao Bernardo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Sao Bernardo haven't matched Novorizontino's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Novorizontino's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Novorizontino Clean Sheet 20%
Sao Bernardo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Novorizontino Sao Bernardo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 11
Draws 8 10
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.63 1.37
Goals Conceded 1 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2026 Serie B
Novorizontino vs Sao Bernardo
0:0
May 31, 2026 Serie B
Sao Bernardo vs Novorizontino
1:1
Apr 9, 2026 Copa Sul-Sudeste
Novorizontino vs Sao Bernardo
1:0
Feb 7, 2026 Paulista
Novorizontino vs Sao Bernardo
2:1
Feb 6, 2025 Paulista
Sao Bernardo vs Novorizontino
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novorizontino 36 / 100
Sao Bernardo 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Novorizontino Sao Bernardo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Novorizontino scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Sao Bernardo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Novorizontino went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Novorizontino VS Sao Bernardo
2 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Novorizontino

(Home)
25 Sept
Novorizontino
0 : 0
Sao Bernardo
18 Sept
Ceara
2 : 1
Novorizontino
13 Sept
Novorizontino
1 : 1
Cuiaba
09 Sept
Botafogo SP
1 : 3
Novorizontino
05 Sept
Novorizontino
3 : 1
Avai
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Sao Bernardo

(Away)
25 Sept
Novorizontino
0 : 0
Sao Bernardo
19 Sept
Sao Bernardo
1 : 0
Atletico GO
14 Sept
America MG
0 : 2
Sao Bernardo
10 Sept
Sao Bernardo
1 : 2
Londrina
06 Sept
Ponte Preta
0 : 2
Sao Bernardo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vila Nova FC 30 16 6 8 43:31 54
2 Fortaleza 30 14 10 6 35:26 52
3 Novorizontino 30 14 9 7 49:27 51
4 EC Juventude 29 14 8 7 31:19 50
5 Criciuma 30 14 8 8 31:27 50
6 Atletico GO 30 13 10 7 37:27 49
7 CRB 30 14 6 10 45:41 48
8 Operario-PR 30 13 9 8 43:38 48
9 Sport Recife 30 11 11 8 40:32 44
10 Cuiaba 30 10 13 7 30:25 43
11 Goias 30 12 6 12 30:36 42
12 Sao Bernardo 30 11 9 10 40:31 42
13 Athletic Club 30 10 12 8 36:33 42
14 Nautico 30 11 8 11 38:37 41
15 Ceara 30 9 9 12 33:39 36
16 Botafogo SP 29 8 8 13 32:36 32
17 Avai 30 8 6 16 30:41 30
18 Londrina 30 7 7 16 39:43 28
19 America MG 29 4 5 20 21:49 17
20 Ponte Preta 29 3 4 22 17:62 13
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)