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Stadium Background

Novorizontino vs Vila Nova FC

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Luis Oyama
Assist: Robson
41' Event
Nathan Camargo
Assist: Joao Vieira
45'
Ryan

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Novorizontino and Vila Nova FC finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Novorizontino.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Novorizontino
11%
Draws
9%
Vila Nova FC
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Novorizontino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vila Nova FC come out ahead of Novorizontino on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Novorizontino's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Novorizontino Clean Sheet 68%
Vila Nova FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Novorizontino Vila Nova FC
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 13
Draws 9 7
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 2.25 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2026 Serie B
Novorizontino vs Vila Nova FC
2:1
Sep 28, 2025 Serie B
Novorizontino vs Vila Nova FC
1:1
May 30, 2025 Serie B
Vila Nova FC vs Novorizontino
0:1
Aug 31, 2024 Serie B
Novorizontino vs Vila Nova FC
2:0
May 14, 2024 Serie B
Vila Nova FC vs Novorizontino
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Novorizontino Compare

Top Goalscorer Luis Oyama
1 Goals
Assists Leader Juninho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Vila Nova FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Nathan Camargo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novorizontino 86 / 100
Vila Nova FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Novorizontino Vila Nova FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Novorizontino's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Vila Nova FC conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Novorizontino remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Novorizontino VS Vila Nova FC
2.25 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Criciuma1796220:1233
2Vila Nova FC1794425:1931
3Operario-PR1794422:1831
4Novorizontino1786328:1630
5EC Juventude1785417:829
6Fortaleza1784520:1728
7Sao Bernardo1775523:1626
8Sport Recife1768321:1526
9Goias1774618:2325
10Atletico GO1766519:1924
11Cuiaba1759314:1124
12Athletic Club1758416:1623
13Nautico1763821:2121
14Botafogo SP1755720:1820
15CRB1755726:3120
16Londrina1754825:2519
17Ceara1746715:2018
18Avai1744918:2416
19Ponte Preta17221311:338
20America MG17141211:287