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Novorizontino U20 vs Velo Clube U20

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Geres M.
47' Event
Kauan Alemao
54' Event
Toscano F.

AI Match Summary

The Paulista U20 game between Novorizontino U20 and Velo Clube U20 finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Novorizontino U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Novorizontino U20
6%
Draws
4%
Velo Clube U20
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Novorizontino U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Novorizontino U20 come out ahead of Velo Clube U20 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Novorizontino U20's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Novorizontino U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Velo Clube U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Novorizontino U20 Velo Clube U20
Matches Played 35 29
Wins 16 4
Draws 8 12
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.25 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Paulista U20
Novorizontino U20 vs Velo Clube U20
4:0
Jul 18, 2025 Paulista U20
Velo Clube U20 vs Novorizontino U20
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Novorizontino U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Geres M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kauan Alemao
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Velo Clube U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novorizontino U20 85 / 100
Velo Clube U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Novorizontino U20 Velo Clube U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Novorizontino U20 found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (35 games).

Velo Clube U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Novorizontino U20 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Novorizontino U20 VS Velo Clube U20
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Novorizontino U20

(Home)
25 Jul
Novorizontino U20
2 : 2
Santo Andre U20
17 Jul
Bandeirante U20
0 : 0
Novorizontino U20
05 Jul
Novorizontino U20
4 : 0
Velo Clube U20
26 Jun
Uniao Sao Joao U20
0 : 0
Novorizontino U20
11 Jun
Novorizontino U20
1 : 3
Ibrachina U20
Page 1 of 7

Velo Clube U20

(Away)
24 Jul
Ibrachina U20
5 : 0
Velo Clube U20
18 Jul
Velo Clube U20
0 : 0
Sao Paulo U20
10 Jul
Velo Clube U20
2 : 2
Sao Caetano U20
05 Jul
Novorizontino U20
4 : 0
Velo Clube U20
26 Jun
Velo Clube U20
2 : 2
Aguai U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Corinthians U20761017:119
2CA Juventus U20751119:816
3Santos U20742113:314
4Ferroviaria U20742112:414
5Portuguesa U20741211:713
6Sertaozinho U2073226:611
7Ponte Preta U2073138:1310
8Sao Bento U20722310:98
9Portuguesa Santista U20722311:148
10Jabaquara U2072143:77
11Itapirense U2072059:176
12Uniao Suzano U2071154:174
13Mirassol U2070437:124
14America SP U2071063:153
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ibrachina U20770024:421
2Desportivo U2085129:516
3Sao Paulo U20743011:215
4Osasco Sporting U20741210:813
5Paulinense U2083329:812
6Piracicaba U2072418:610
7Santo Andre U20722310:108
8Bandeirante U2082247:128
9Aguai U2082249:178
10Sao Caetano U2082159:147
11Novorizontino U2071429:87
12Uniao Sao Joao U2081436:87
13EC Sao Bernardo U2071336:126
14Botafogo SP U2070528:115
15Velo Clube U2080534:145
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bragantino U20770025:621
2Guarani U20760114:618
3Agua Santa U20843114:715
4Palmeiras U20742112:614
5Sfera U20840417:712
6Gremio Prudente U20732210:911
7Osasco Audax U2083238:911
8Flamengo SP U2083148:1410
9Capivariano U2072419:810
10XV de Jau U2072236:148
11Ituano U2071517:98
12Maua FC U2081346:146
13Tanabi U2081257:155
14Referencia U2071155:134
15Porto Football U2080171:121
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)