Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nowe Skalmierzyce vs Pogon Szczecin II

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Waligora N.
47' Event
Waligora N.
67' Event
Szewczyk F.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 game between Nowe Skalmierzyce and Pogon Szczecin II finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Nowe Skalmierzyce
6%
Draws
90%
Pogon Szczecin II
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Pogon Szczecin II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Pogon Szczecin II carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Pogon Szczecin II's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Nowe Skalmierzyce Clean Sheet 19%
Pogon Szczecin II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nowe Skalmierzyce Pogon Szczecin II
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 7 4
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.63 1.88
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 22, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Nowe Skalmierzyce vs Pogon Szczecin II
2:2
Aug 3, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Pogon Szczecin II vs Nowe Skalmierzyce
4:1
May 31, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Pogon Szczecin II vs Nowe Skalmierzyce
0:1
Nov 9, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Nowe Skalmierzyce vs Pogon Szczecin II
1:5
Mar 17, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Pogon Szczecin II vs Nowe Skalmierzyce
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nowe Skalmierzyce Compare

Top Goalscorer Golinski J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Pogon Szczecin II Compare

Top Goalscorer Waligora N.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nowe Skalmierzyce 10 / 100
Pogon Szczecin II 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nowe Skalmierzyce Pogon Szczecin II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Pogon Szczecin II conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Nowe Skalmierzyce's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Nowe Skalmierzyce has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nowe Skalmierzyce VS Pogon Szczecin II
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zawisza34255473:2380
2Luzino34244679:3976
3Polonia Sroda Wielkopol34206867:4366
4Lipno Steszew341561347:5451
5Notec Czarnkow341471349:4649
6Lech Poznan II341471367:5449
7Elana Torun341471349:5549
8Swinoujscie341471348:5249
9Wda Swiecie341461444:6648
10Unia Swarzedz341381347:4147
11Kluczevia Stargard341371454:4346
12Blekitni Stargard341291356:5145
13Victoria Wrzesnia341331841:4642
14Pogon Szczecin II341251775:6641
15Nowe Skalmierzyce341091535:4639
16Cartusia Kartuzy341151838:5138
17Tluchowo34871937:6631
18Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal34362520:8415