Sport Picks
Nowe Skalmierzyce vs Unia Swarzedz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 
Match Events
8'
8'
Karasiewicz W.
15'
15'
Zaborniak D.
39'
39'
Lukaszewski J.
AI Match Summary
The III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 game between Nowe Skalmierzyce and Unia Swarzedz finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Unia Swarzedz.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Nowe Skalmierzyce haven't matched Unia Swarzedz's recent run of results.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Unia Swarzedz here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Nowe Skalmierzyce Clean Sheet 10%
Unia Swarzedz Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nowe Skalmierzyce | Unia Swarzedz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 17 |
| Draws | 7 | 3 |
| Losses | 14 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 2.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.37 | 1.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 2.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 10, 2026 Club Friendly
Unia Swarzedz vs Nowe Skalmierzyce
2:0
Mar 1, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Nowe Skalmierzyce vs Unia Swarzedz
0:4
Aug 15, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Unia Swarzedz vs Nowe Skalmierzyce
0:1
May 10, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Unia Swarzedz vs Nowe Skalmierzyce
2:0
Oct 12, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Nowe Skalmierzyce vs Unia Swarzedz
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nowe Skalmierzyce Compare
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Unia Swarzedz Compare
Top Goalscorer Karasiewicz W.
2 Goals Assists Leader Zaborniak D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nowe Skalmierzyce 34 / 100
Unia Swarzedz 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nowe Skalmierzyce Unia Swarzedz
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Unia Swarzedz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nowe Skalmierzyce found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).
Unia Swarzedz let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Nowe Skalmierzyce went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Nowe Skalmierzyce VS Unia Swarzedz
0.5 Goals Scored 2.63
2 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Nowe Skalmierzyce
(Home) 10 Jul
Unia Swarzedz
2 : 0 Nowe Skalmierzyce
30 May
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 1 Nowe Skalmierzyce
23 May
Nowe Skalmierzyce
3 : 0 Lech Poznan II
16 May
Cartusia Kartuzy
0 : 1 Nowe Skalmierzyce
13 May
Nowe Skalmierzyce
0 : 0 Blekitni Stargard
Page 1 of 6
23 May
Nowe Skalmierzyce
3 : 0 Lech Poznan II
13 May
Nowe Skalmierzyce
0 : 0 Blekitni Stargard
09 May
Nowe Skalmierzyce
2 : 0 Lipno Steszew
19 Apr
Nowe Skalmierzyce
0 : 0 Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal
04 Apr
Nowe Skalmierzyce
0 : 1 Zawisza
Page 1 of 3
Unia Swarzedz
(Away) 03 Oct
Unia Swarzedz
7 : 0 Kotwica Kornik
26 Sept
Swinoujscie
0 : 2 Unia Swarzedz
19 Sept
Unia Swarzedz
1 : 3 Luzino
11 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
4 : 3 Unia Swarzedz
04 Sept
Unia Swarzedz
1 : 1 Lech Poznan II
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Swinoujscie
0 : 2 Unia Swarzedz
11 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
4 : 3 Unia Swarzedz
28 Aug
Kluczevia Stargard
2 : 0 Unia Swarzedz
19 Aug
Elana Torun
2 : 3 Unia Swarzedz
09 Aug
KKS Kalisz
1 : 0 Unia Swarzedz
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zawisza | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 73:23 | 80 |
| 2 | Luzino | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 79:39 | 76 |
| 3 | Polonia Sroda Wielkopol | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 67:43 | 66 |
| 4 | Lipno Steszew | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 47:54 | 51 |
| 5 | Notec Czarnkow | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 49:46 | 49 |
| 6 | Lech Poznan II | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 67:54 | 49 |
| 7 | Elana Torun | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 49:55 | 49 |
| 8 | Swinoujscie | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 48:52 | 49 |
| 9 | Wda Swiecie | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 44:66 | 48 |
| 10 | Unia Swarzedz | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 47:41 | 47 |
| 11 | Kluczevia Stargard | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54:43 | 46 |
| 12 | Blekitni Stargard | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 56:51 | 45 |
| 13 | Victoria Wrzesnia | 34 | 13 | 3 | 18 | 41:46 | 42 |
| 14 | Pogon Szczecin II | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 75:66 | 41 |
| 15 | Nowe Skalmierzyce | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 35:46 | 39 |
| 16 | Cartusia Kartuzy | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 38:51 | 38 |
| 17 | Tluchowo | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 37:66 | 31 |
| 18 | Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal | 34 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 20:84 | 15 |
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
