Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Ntugasaze host Mbarara City in the Premier League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Ntugasaze have averaged 1.4 scored and 1.07 conceded recently, against Mbarara City's 0.76 scored and 1.41 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 0.94) point toward Ntugasaze. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Mbarara City haven't matched Ntugasaze's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ntugasaze | Mbarara City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 6 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 9 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.4 | 0.76 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ntugasaze's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Mbarara City has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Recent resilience: Ntugasaze stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Mbarara City lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Ntugasaze
(Home)Mbarara City
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUL | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11:3 | 12 |
| 2 | NEC FC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:2 | 10 |
| 3 | Villa | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 10 |
| 4 | Blacks Power | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 9 |
| 5 | Police | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:1 | 7 |
| 6 | Entebbe UPPC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 7 |
| 7 | Lugazi | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | 6 |
| 8 | UPDF FC | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2:2 | 5 |
| 9 | Express FC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 10 | Kampala City | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | 4 |
| 11 | Vipers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 12 | Maroons | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 13 | Uganda Revenue | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 14 | Kitara | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 15 | Mbarara City | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:1 | 2 |
| 16 | Kataka | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:5 | 1 |
| 17 | Kigezi HomeBoyz | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:5 | 1 |
| 18 | Ntugasaze | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:11 | 0 |
