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Ntugasaze vs Wakiso Giants

Uganda Uganda

Big League 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

Ntugasaze in this Big League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ntugasaze.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Ntugasaze
15%
Draws
42%
Wakiso Giants
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ntugasaze

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ntugasaze lately — more wins on the board than Wakiso Giants.
  • Win probability leans Ntugasaze's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Ntugasaze Clean Sheet 20%
Wakiso Giants Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ntugasaze Wakiso Giants
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 8
Draws 8 7
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.38 1.03
Goals Conceded 1 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Big League
Ntugasaze vs Wakiso Giants
3:0
Dec 14, 2025 Big League
Wakiso Giants vs Ntugasaze
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ntugasaze 58 / 100
Wakiso Giants 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ntugasaze Wakiso Giants

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ntugasaze Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wakiso Giants's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Ntugasaze found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Wakiso Giants's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ntugasaze VS Wakiso Giants
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ntugasaze

(Home)
19 Sept
Vipers
3 : 0
Ntugasaze
08 Sept
BUL
4 : 1
Ntugasaze
02 Sept
Ntugasaze
1 : 3
Maroons
29 Aug
Blacks Power
1 : 0
Ntugasaze
06 Jun
Kiyinda Boys
0 : 3
Ntugasaze
Page 1 of 6

Wakiso Giants

(Away)
06 Jun
Young Elephant
4 : 0
Wakiso Giants
24 May
Wakiso Giants
1 : 4
Bright Stars
17 May
Kaaro Karungi
1 : 0
Wakiso Giants
10 May
Wakiso Giants
3 : 2
Bunyaruguru
03 May
Ntugasaze
3 : 0
Wakiso Giants
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blacks Power 30 16 7 7 35:18 55
2 Ntugasaze 30 14 11 5 42:22 53
3 Kataka 30 16 3 11 40:26 51
4 Kigezi HomeBoyz 30 14 9 7 36:22 51
5 Paidha Black Angels 30 15 7 8 33:23 50
6 Bunyaruguru 30 12 7 11 31:25 43
7 Young Elephant 30 12 6 12 44:40 42
8 Kiyinda Boys 30 12 6 12 40:31 40
9 Iganga United 30 11 5 14 30:33 38
10 Catda 30 9 10 11 24:32 37
11 Kaaro Karungi 30 10 8 12 26:30 36
12 Onduparaka 30 9 9 12 24:32 36
13 Nebbi Central 30 9 9 12 35:42 34
14 Bright Stars 30 7 11 12 25:31 32
15 Wakiso Giants 30 8 7 15 31:48 31
16 Mbale Heroes 30 6 5 19 14:67 17
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