Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nublense vs Coquimbo

Chile Chile

Liga de Primera Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzun Arenas, Chillán
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
12:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nublense host Coquimbo in the Liga de Primera. Little to choose between these two on current form. Coquimbo have shipped 1.06 goals a game lately, while Nublense have conceded 1.28 and scored 1.31. Head-to-head, Nublense have won 0 to Coquimbo's 2, with 3 draws. They last met on Apr 19, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.38) point toward Coquimbo. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Nublense
15%
Draws
57%
Coquimbo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Coquimbo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Coquimbo come out ahead of Nublense on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Liga de Primera form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Nublense Clean Sheet 17%
Coquimbo Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nublense Coquimbo
Matches Played 32 36
Wins 14 17
Draws 9 11
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.31 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Liga de Primera
Coquimbo vs Nublense
1:1
Sep 12, 2025 Liga de Primera
Coquimbo vs Nublense
2:1
Apr 21, 2025 Liga de Primera
Nublense vs Coquimbo
0:0
Jul 20, 2024 Liga de Primera
Coquimbo vs Nublense
1:0
Feb 17, 2024 Liga de Primera
Nublense vs Coquimbo
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nublense 31 / 100
Coquimbo 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nublense Coquimbo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Coquimbo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nublense's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Defensive concern: Coquimbo conceded in 72% of 36 recent games.

Coquimbo's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Nublense VS Coquimbo
1 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Nublense

(Home)
26 Sept
Nublense
2 : 1
D. Puerto Montt
22 Sept
D. Puerto Montt
2 : 0
Nublense
12 Sept
Nublense
1 : 3
Everton
06 Sept
La Serena
2 : 1
Nublense
03 Sept
Limache
2 : 0
Nublense
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Coquimbo

(Away)
22 Sept
Cobreloa
1 : 2
Coquimbo
16 Sept
Coquimbo
0 : 1
Huachipato
12 Sept
Cobresal
3 : 2
Coquimbo
06 Sept
U. De Chile
4 : 2
Coquimbo
02 Sept
Coquimbo
1 : 0
U. De Concepcion
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colo Colo 23 17 3 3 48:22 54
2 U. Catolica 23 13 3 7 50:33 42
3 U. De Chile 23 12 6 5 35:19 42
4 Everton 23 10 6 7 37:25 36
5 Palestino 23 11 3 9 36:33 36
6 Limache 23 10 3 10 43:35 33
7 Nublense 23 8 8 7 28:31 32
8 D. Concepcion 23 9 4 10 25:26 31
9 La Serena 23 7 9 7 34:38 30
10 Coquimbo 23 8 5 10 31:32 29
11 A. Italiano 23 7 7 9 26:31 28
12 Huachipato 22 8 4 10 30:39 28
13 O Higgins 23 8 3 12 28:36 27
14 Cobresal 23 7 3 13 34:44 24
15 U. De Concepcion 22 6 4 12 17:37 22
16 Union La Calera 23 4 5 14 19:40 17
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga de Ascenso 2027 (Main)