Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nueva Chicago vs Chacarita Juniors

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Nueva Chicago, Buenos Aires
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Mendez E.
58'
Chaves N.
58'
Gonzalez A.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between Nueva Chicago and Chacarita Juniors finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nueva Chicago.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Nueva Chicago
40%
Draws
29%
Chacarita Juniors
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Nueva Chicago carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Nueva Chicago Clean Sheet 68%
Chacarita Juniors Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nueva Chicago Chacarita Juniors
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 6
Draws 11 10
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 0.75 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 Primera Nacional
Nueva Chicago vs Chacarita Juniors
2:0
Jun 28, 2025 Primera Nacional
Chacarita Juniors vs Nueva Chicago
0:0
Feb 24, 2025 Primera Nacional
Nueva Chicago vs Chacarita Juniors
1:1
Apr 10, 2022 Primera Nacional
Chacarita Juniors vs Nueva Chicago
3:1
Aug 8, 2021 Primera Nacional
Chacarita Juniors vs Nueva Chicago
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nueva Chicago Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ocampo T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Chacarita Juniors Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nueva Chicago 42 / 100
Chacarita Juniors 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nueva Chicago Chacarita Juniors

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chacarita Juniors has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Nueva Chicago went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Nueva Chicago scored in 50% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nueva Chicago VS Chacarita Juniors
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Nueva Chicago

(Home)
17 Jul
Nueva Chicago
1 : 1
Agropecuario
11 Jul
Tristan Suarez
1 : 0
Nueva Chicago
04 Jul
Nueva Chicago
2 : 0
Club Atletico Guemes
23 Jun
Nueva Chicago
0 : 0
Atl. Rafaela
17 Jun
Gimnasia Jujuy
4 : 0
Nueva Chicago
Page 1 of 6

Chacarita Juniors

(Away)
12 Jul
Gimnasia Jujuy
1 : 1
Chacarita Juniors
05 Jul
San Martin S.J.
0 : 1
Chacarita Juniors
21 Jun
Chacarita Juniors
0 : 0
Tristan Suarez
13 Jun
Nueva Chicago
2 : 0
Chacarita Juniors
07 Jun
Chacarita Juniors
0 : 1
Temperley
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ferro21134425:1443
2Deportivo Moron20105529:1935
3Colon Santa Fe2198427:1735
4Los Andes2088419:832
5Ciudad Bolivar21710419:1631
6CA Estudiantes2187618:1631
7Almirante Brown2187615:1331
8Deportivo Madryn2078527:2229
9Godoy Cruz2077620:1728
10San Miguel20510517:2125
11Racing Cordoba2166920:2524
12Defensores de Belgrano2058714:1823
13All Boys21410713:2022
14CA Mitre2149820:2721
15San Telmo2048816:2120
16Acassuso20541115:2319
17Central Norte2047912:2119
18Chaco For Ever20371017:2616
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gimnasia Jujuy20115432:2238
2Atletico Atlanta20113625:1536
3Temperley21810321:1734
4Tristan Suarez2089317:1133
5Midland2086621:1530
6San Martin T.2179519:1530
7Deportivo Maipu2185827:2129
8Atl. Rafaela2176815:1827
9San Martin S.J.1975720:1926
10Nueva Chicago2068618:1826
11Gimnasia y Tiro2067719:2125
12Almagro2074916:2225
13Quilmes2066818:1624
14Colegiales2065918:2023
15Chacarita Juniors2065916:2123
16Patronato20410613:1722
17Agropecuario2148915:2520
18Club Atletico Guemes20541118:3419
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)