Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nueva Chicago vs Club Atletico Guemes

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Nueva Chicago, Buenos Aires
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Vera M.
Assist: Ocampo T.
46'
Sub
Perez M. In: Rodriguez T.
Out: Perez M.
60'
Sub
Vera M. In: Gissi D.
Out: Vera M.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between Nueva Chicago and Club Atletico Guemes finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nueva Chicago.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Nueva Chicago
20%
Draws
16%
Club Atletico Guemes
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nueva Chicago

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nueva Chicago come out ahead of Club Atletico Guemes on wins alone.
  • Nueva Chicago are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Nueva Chicago Clean Sheet 68%
Club Atletico Guemes Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nueva Chicago Club Atletico Guemes
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 7 5
Draws 8 8
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 0.75 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Primera Nacional
Nueva Chicago vs Club Atletico Guemes
2:0
Feb 15, 2026 Primera Nacional
Club Atletico Guemes vs Nueva Chicago
0:1
Sep 16, 2023 Primera Nacional
Club Atletico Guemes vs Nueva Chicago
1:0
May 6, 2023 Primera Nacional
Nueva Chicago vs Club Atletico Guemes
1:2
Jun 27, 2022 Primera Nacional
Nueva Chicago vs Club Atletico Guemes
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nueva Chicago Compare

Top Goalscorer Vera M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ambrogio L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Club Atletico Guemes Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nueva Chicago 86 / 100
Club Atletico Guemes 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nueva Chicago Club Atletico Guemes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nueva Chicago Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Club Atletico Guemes conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Club Atletico Guemes's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Nueva Chicago's goal record stands at 46% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Nueva Chicago VS Club Atletico Guemes
0.25 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
38% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nueva Chicago

(Home)
21 Sept
Nueva Chicago
1 : 1
Patronato
12 Sept
Colegiales
1 : 0
Nueva Chicago
07 Sept
Nueva Chicago
1 : 0
Quilmes
29 Aug
Midland
2 : 0
Nueva Chicago
26 Aug
San Martin S.J.
1 : 0
Nueva Chicago
Page 1 of 6

Club Atletico Guemes

(Away)
26 Sept
Quilmes
2 : 0
Club Atletico Guemes
20 Sept
Club Atletico Guemes
0 : 2
Midland
12 Sept
Atletico Atlanta
2 : 0
Club Atletico Guemes
06 Sept
Club Atletico Guemes
1 : 3
Gimnasia y Tiro
30 Aug
San Martin T.
1 : 1
Club Atletico Guemes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 30 17 7 6 35:25 58
2 Deportivo Moron 30 16 7 7 48:29 55
3 Godoy Cruz 30 15 7 8 38:26 52
4 Deportivo Madryn 31 13 11 7 44:28 50
5 Colon Santa Fe 31 13 10 8 38:25 49
6 Almirante Brown 31 12 10 9 23:18 46
7 CA Estudiantes 31 12 9 10 29:26 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 31 10 12 9 26:28 42
9 Los Andes 30 8 13 9 22:20 37
10 Chaco For Ever 31 9 9 13 28:31 36
11 Defensores de Belgrano 30 8 12 10 23:26 36
12 Racing Cordoba 30 9 8 13 26:36 35
13 All Boys 31 6 15 10 17:26 33
14 Central Norte 31 6 14 11 19:28 32
15 CA Mitre 30 6 14 10 27:37 32
16 San Miguel 31 6 13 12 25:36 31
17 San Telmo 30 7 10 13 23:34 31
18 Acassuso 31 7 8 16 22:34 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 30 14 12 4 31:15 54
2 Temperley 30 14 11 5 36:24 53
3 Gimnasia Jujuy 30 15 8 7 45:36 53
4 Atletico Atlanta 30 15 4 11 34:28 49
5 Midland 30 13 8 9 34:25 47
6 San Martin S.J. 30 12 9 9 33:27 45
7 Gimnasia y Tiro 30 12 9 9 31:27 45
8 Colegiales 31 12 7 12 31:31 43
9 Atl. Rafaela 30 11 9 10 25:26 42
10 Deportivo Maipu 30 11 8 11 37:31 41
11 San Martin T. 30 9 12 9 32:30 39
12 Quilmes 31 10 8 13 30:27 38
13 Agropecuario 30 9 9 12 26:34 36
14 Almagro 30 9 8 13 26:36 35
15 Nueva Chicago 30 8 9 13 22:29 33
16 Patronato 30 5 16 9 24:31 31
17 Chacarita Juniors 31 8 6 17 23:33 30
18 Club Atletico Guemes 31 5 8 18 23:53 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)