Sport Picks
Nueva Chicago vs San Martin T. - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Argentina
Primera Nacional Estadio Nueva Chicago, Buenos Aires 
Match Events
17'
17'
Ocampo T.
Assist: Rogoski M.
25'
25'
Rogoski M.
28'
28'
Veron M.
Assist: Veliez A.
AI Match Summary
The Primera Nacional game between Nueva Chicago and San Martin T. finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nueva Chicago.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and San Martin T. come out ahead of Nueva Chicago on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Nueva Chicago's way, sitting at 42%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Nueva Chicago Clean Sheet 68%
San Martin T. Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nueva Chicago | San Martin T. |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 7 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 11 |
| Losses | 14 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.69 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 1, 2026 Primera Nacional
Nueva Chicago vs San Martin T.
2:1
Mar 15, 2026 Primera Nacional
San Martin T. vs Nueva Chicago
2:0
Jun 25, 2023 Primera Nacional
San Martin T. vs Nueva Chicago
1:1
Feb 20, 2023 Primera Nacional
Nueva Chicago vs San Martin T.
1:0
Mar 23, 2022 Primera Nacional
Nueva Chicago vs San Martin T.
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nueva Chicago Compare
Top Goalscorer Ocampo T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Perez M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
San Martin T. Compare
Top Goalscorer Veron M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nueva Chicago 51 / 100
San Martin T. 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nueva Chicago San Martin T.
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
San Martin T. has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.
Games between these two average 1.60 goals.
Recent resilience: Nueva Chicago stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Nueva Chicago found the back of the net in 45% of recent matches (29 games).
Scoring Trends
Nueva Chicago VS San Martin T.
0.38 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
25% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Nueva Chicago
(Home) 05 Oct
Nueva Chicago
0 : 1 Deportivo Maipu
27 Sept
Almagro
0 : 1 Nueva Chicago
21 Sept
Nueva Chicago
1 : 1 Patronato
12 Sept
Colegiales
1 : 0 Nueva Chicago
07 Sept
Nueva Chicago
1 : 0 Quilmes
Page 1 of 6
05 Oct
Nueva Chicago
0 : 1 Deportivo Maipu
21 Sept
Nueva Chicago
1 : 1 Patronato
07 Sept
Nueva Chicago
1 : 0 Quilmes
22 Aug
Nueva Chicago
0 : 1 Atletico Atlanta
01 Aug
Nueva Chicago
2 : 1 San Martin T.
Page 1 of 3
San Martin T.
(Away) 04 Oct
San Martin T.
1 : 0 Gimnasia y Tiro
28 Sept
Gimnasia Jujuy
2 : 2 San Martin T.
19 Sept
Atl. Rafaela
4 : 2 San Martin T.
13 Sept
San Martin T.
3 : 0 Agropecuario
05 Sept
Tristan Suarez
2 : 0 San Martin T.
Page 1 of 7
28 Sept
Gimnasia Jujuy
2 : 2 San Martin T.
19 Sept
Atl. Rafaela
4 : 2 San Martin T.
05 Sept
Tristan Suarez
2 : 0 San Martin T.
23 Aug
Chacarita Juniors
1 : 2 San Martin T.
01 Aug
Nueva Chicago
2 : 1 San Martin T.
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 36:27 | 61 |
| 2 | Deportivo Moron | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 51:32 | 58 |
| 3 | Godoy Cruz | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 42:29 | 56 |
| 4 | Deportivo Madryn | 32 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 46:28 | 53 |
| 5 | Colon Santa Fe | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 39:25 | 52 |
| 6 | Almirante Brown | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 25:21 | 46 |
| 7 | CA Estudiantes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 29:27 | 45 |
| 8 | Ciudad Bolivar | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 27:28 | 45 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 25:23 | 40 |
| 10 | Chaco For Ever | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 30:33 | 37 |
| 11 | Defensores de Belgrano | 32 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 25:29 | 37 |
| 12 | San Telmo | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 28:36 | 37 |
| 13 | Racing Cordoba | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 29:39 | 37 |
| 14 | CA Mitre | 32 | 7 | 14 | 11 | 29:39 | 35 |
| 15 | Central Norte | 32 | 6 | 15 | 11 | 20:29 | 33 |
| 16 | All Boys | 32 | 6 | 15 | 11 | 18:28 | 33 |
| 17 | San Miguel | 32 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 25:38 | 31 |
| 18 | Acassuso | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 22:35 | 29 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 32 | 15 | 13 | 4 | 32:15 | 58 |
| 2 | Temperley | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 38:26 | 56 |
| 3 | Atletico Atlanta | 32 | 17 | 4 | 11 | 38:30 | 55 |
| 4 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 48:40 | 54 |
| 5 | Midland | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 34:26 | 48 |
| 6 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 32:28 | 48 |
| 7 | Deportivo Maipu | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 39:31 | 47 |
| 8 | Colegiales | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 32:31 | 46 |
| 9 | San Martin S.J. | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 34:32 | 45 |
| 10 | San Martin T. | 32 | 10 | 13 | 9 | 35:32 | 43 |
| 11 | Atl. Rafaela | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 27:30 | 42 |
| 12 | Quilmes | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 30:27 | 39 |
| 13 | Almagro | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 28:38 | 38 |
| 14 | Agropecuario | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 26:35 | 37 |
| 15 | Nueva Chicago | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 23:30 | 36 |
| 16 | Patronato | 32 | 6 | 16 | 10 | 27:32 | 34 |
| 17 | Chacarita Juniors | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 24:33 | 33 |
| 18 | Club Atletico Guemes | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 23:54 | 23 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
