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Nueve de Octubre vs America de Quito

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B 2023 Estadio Modelo Alberto Spencer
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Posligua M.

AI Match Summary

Nueve de Octubre in this Serie B 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nueve de Octubre.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Nueve de Octubre
22%
Draws
60%
America de Quito
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: America de Quito

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nueve de Octubre lately — more wins on the board than America de Quito.
  • Model gives America de Quito a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie B 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Nueve de Octubre Clean Sheet 20%
America de Quito Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nueve de Octubre America de Quito
Matches Played 40 30
Wins 17 10
Draws 14 8
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 2 0
Goals Conceded 0.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2023 Serie B
America de Quito vs Nueve de Octubre
1:0
Aug 23, 2023 Serie B
Nueve de Octubre vs America de Quito
1:0
Jun 1, 2023 Serie B
America de Quito vs Nueve de Octubre
1:0
Apr 5, 2023 Serie B
Nueve de Octubre vs America de Quito
3:1
Oct 21, 2020 Serie B
Nueve de Octubre vs America de Quito
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nueve de Octubre Compare

Top Goalscorer Posligua M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

America de Quito Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nueve de Octubre 20 / 100
America de Quito 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nueve de Octubre America de Quito

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AME Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

America de Quito's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Nueve de Octubre stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Nueve de Octubre scored in 73% of their last 40 outings.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Nueve de Octubre VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Macara361810847:3464
2Imbabura361513858:4358
3Vinotinto361413954:3955
4Manta3614101239:3752
5Independiente Juniors3613121140:4051
6Nueve de Octubre361281648:4844
7Vargas Torres3610141227:3444
8Chacaritas361271744:4743
9America de Quito3611101546:5843
10Buhos ULVR365151630:5330