Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nueve de Octubre vs Dep. Santo Domingo

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B Estadio Modelo Alberto Spencer
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Mejia F.
63'

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Nueve de Octubre and Dep. Santo Domingo finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nueve de Octubre.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Nueve de Octubre
28%
Draws
22%
Dep. Santo Domingo
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Nueve de Octubre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nueve de Octubre come out ahead of Dep. Santo Domingo on wins alone.
  • Nueve de Octubre are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Nueve de Octubre Clean Sheet 68%
Dep. Santo Domingo Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nueve de Octubre Dep. Santo Domingo
Matches Played 29 25
Wins 12 10
Draws 10 7
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.13 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Serie B
Nueve de Octubre vs Dep. Santo Domingo
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nueve de Octubre Compare

Top Goalscorer Mejia F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Dep. Santo Domingo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nueve de Octubre 59 / 100
Dep. Santo Domingo 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nueve de Octubre Dep. Santo Domingo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NUE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Nueve de Octubre stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Nueve de Octubre's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Dep. Santo Domingo conceded in 60% of 25 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Nueve de Octubre VS Dep. Santo Domingo
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nueve de Octubre1787219:1131
2Atletico FC1779121:1330
3CD Cuenca Juniors1785419:1829
4Vinotinto1775523:1426
5Independiente Juniors1667317:1125
6Cumbaya1757519:1622
7San Antonio1748520:2020
8Dep. Santo Domingo1757513:1219
9LDU Portoviejo1654714:2019
10Gualaceo1666413:1018
1122 de Julio1633108:226
12EL Nacional17041310:291