Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nueve de Octubre vs Dep. Santo Domingo

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B Estadio Modelo Alberto Spencer, Guayaquil
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Mejia F.
63'

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Nueve de Octubre and Dep. Santo Domingo finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nueve de Octubre.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Nueve de Octubre
20%
Draws
42%
Dep. Santo Domingo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dep. Santo Domingo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nueve de Octubre come out ahead of Dep. Santo Domingo on wins alone.
  • Nueve de Octubre are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
Nueve de Octubre Clean Sheet 68%
Dep. Santo Domingo Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nueve de Octubre Dep. Santo Domingo
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 10
Draws 12 10
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 1.18 0.89
Goals Conceded 0.71 0.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 30, 2026 Serie B
Dep. Santo Domingo vs Nueve de Octubre
0:0
May 10, 2026 Serie B
Nueve de Octubre vs Dep. Santo Domingo
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nueve de Octubre Compare

Top Goalscorer Mejia F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Dep. Santo Domingo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nueve de Octubre 68 / 100
Dep. Santo Domingo 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nueve de Octubre Dep. Santo Domingo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nueve de Octubre Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nueve de Octubre's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Nueve de Octubre stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Dep. Santo Domingo conceded in 50% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 0.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Nueve de Octubre VS Dep. Santo Domingo
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Nueve de Octubre

(Home)
26 Sept
Nueve de Octubre
3 : 0
San Antonio
17 Sept
Vinotinto
1 : 0
Nueve de Octubre
12 Sept
Nueve de Octubre
3 : 1
Independiente Juniors
04 Sept
Atletico FC
2 : 2
Nueve de Octubre
28 Aug
CD Cuenca Juniors
1 : 1
Nueve de Octubre
Page 1 of 6

Dep. Santo Domingo

(Away)
27 Sept
Dep. Santo Domingo
0 : 1
Gualaceo
18 Sept
Dep. Santo Domingo
1 : 0
EL Nacional
11 Sept
LDU Portoviejo
1 : 0
Dep. Santo Domingo
04 Sept
Dep. Santo Domingo
2 : 1
Cumbaya
27 Aug
22 de Julio
0 : 3
Dep. Santo Domingo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente Juniors 22 10 9 3 28:16 39
2 Atletico FC 22 9 11 2 25:14 38
3 Nueve de Octubre 22 9 10 3 22:14 37
4 CD Cuenca Juniors 22 9 7 6 20:23 34
5 Vinotinto 22 8 7 7 25:17 31
6 San Antonio 22 7 10 5 24:21 31
7 LDU Portoviejo 22 7 6 9 17:22 27
8 Cumbaya 22 5 11 6 22:22 26
9 Dep. Santo Domingo 22 6 10 6 17:16 25
10 Gualaceo 22 7 8 7 19:16 23
11 EL Nacional 22 2 6 14 15:32 9
12 22 de Julio 22 4 3 15 10:31 9
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Serie B (Relegation Group)