Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nueve de Octubre vs LDU Portoviejo

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B Estadio Modelo Alberto Spencer
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Mejia F.
9' Event
Caicedo E.
42' Event
Burgos J.

AI Match Summary

Nueve de Octubre in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nueve de Octubre.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Nueve de Octubre
22%
Draws
18%
LDU Portoviejo
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Nueve de Octubre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nueve de Octubre lately — more wins on the board than LDU Portoviejo.
  • Model gives Nueve de Octubre a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Nueve de Octubre Clean Sheet 68%
LDU Portoviejo Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nueve de Octubre LDU Portoviejo
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 11 5
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.25 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Serie B
LDU Portoviejo vs Nueve de Octubre
1:1
Apr 18, 2026 Serie B
Nueve de Octubre vs LDU Portoviejo
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nueve de Octubre Compare

Top Goalscorer Mejia F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Angulo S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

LDU Portoviejo Compare

Top Goalscorer Caicedo E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Burgos J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nueve de Octubre 68 / 100
LDU Portoviejo 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nueve de Octubre LDU Portoviejo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NUE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Nueve de Octubre went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Nueve de Octubre found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: LDU Portoviejo conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Nueve de Octubre VS LDU Portoviejo
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nueve de Octubre1787219:1131
2Atletico FC1779121:1330
3CD Cuenca Juniors1785419:1829
4Independiente Juniors1777318:1128
5Vinotinto1775523:1426
6Cumbaya1757519:1622
7San Antonio1748520:2020
8Dep. Santo Domingo1757513:1219
9LDU Portoviejo1754814:2119
10Gualaceo1666413:1018
1122 de Julio1633108:226
12EL Nacional17041310:291