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Nukuhetulu vs Vaivase-Tai

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Viliamu V.
23' Event
Scanlan R.
42' Event
Viliamu N.

AI Match Summary

The OFC Champions League game between Nukuhetulu and Vaivase-Tai finished 3-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vaivase-Tai.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Nukuhetulu
35%
Draws
49%
Vaivase-Tai
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Vaivase-Tai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

16% / Low Confidence
  • Vaivase-Tai carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Nukuhetulu are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 65%
Over 4.5 Goals 29%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Nukuhetulu Clean Sheet 20%
Vaivase-Tai Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nukuhetulu Vaivase-Tai
Matches Played 3 9
Wins 0 3
Draws 1 3
Losses 2 3
Goals Scored 1.67 2.89
Goals Conceded 3.33 2.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2026 OFC Champions League
Nukuhetulu vs Vaivase-Tai
3:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nukuhetulu Compare

Top Goalscorer Gee G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lyman M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Vaivase-Tai Compare

Top Goalscorer Viliamu N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Viliamu V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nukuhetulu 85 / 100
Vaivase-Tai 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nukuhetulu Vaivase-Tai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nukuhetulu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 8.00 goals.

Nukuhetulu found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (3 games).

Defensive concern: Vaivase-Tai conceded in 78% of 9 recent games.

Nukuhetulu has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nukuhetulu VS Vaivase-Tai
1.67 Goals Scored 2.63
3.33 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
67% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Nukuhetulu

(Home)
05 Feb
Nukuhetulu
3 : 5
Vaivase-Tai
02 Feb
Pago Youth
2 : 2
Nukuhetulu
31 Jan
Tupapa
3 : 0
Nukuhetulu

Vaivase-Tai

(Away)
05 Feb
Nukuhetulu
3 : 5
Vaivase-Tai
03 Feb
Tupapa
1 : 1
Vaivase-Tai
30 Jan
Vaivase-Tai
1 : 1
Pago Youth
19 May
Vaivase-Tai
1 : 5
Ifira Blackbird
16 May
Magenta
8 : 0
Vaivase-Tai
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tupapa 3 2 1 0 7:1 7
2 Vaivase-Tai 3 1 2 0 7:5 5
3 Pago Youth 3 0 2 1 3:6 2
4 Nukuhetulu 3 0 1 2 5:10 1
Promotion - OFC Champions League (Main)