Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Numancia B vs Arandina

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Menor J.
58' Event
Quiroga Gonzalez P.
Own Goal
90'
Oliynyk O.

AI Match Summary

Arandina in this Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arandina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Numancia B
30%
Draws
58%
Arandina
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Arandina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Arandina lately — more wins on the board than Numancia B.
  • Win probability leans Arandina's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Numancia B Clean Sheet 10%
Arandina Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Numancia B Arandina
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 7
Draws 4 10
Losses 20 12
Goals Scored 0.77 1
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Numancia B vs Arandina
0:2
Nov 8, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Arandina vs Numancia B
0:0
Mar 26, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Arandina vs Numancia B
0:0
Nov 27, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Numancia B vs Arandina
0:3
Apr 15, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Numancia B vs Arandina
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Numancia B Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Arandina Compare

Top Goalscorer Menor J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Numancia B 10 / 100
Arandina 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Numancia B Arandina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arandina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arandina let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Numancia B scored in 40% of their last 30 outings.

Numancia B went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Numancia B VS Arandina
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Numancia B

(Home)
10 May
Unionistas de Salamanca B
1 : 0
Numancia B
02 May
Numancia B
0 : 2
Guijuelo
25 Apr
Leonesa B
3 : 0
Numancia B
18 Apr
Numancia B
1 : 1
CD Mojados
11 Apr
Almazan
5 : 0
Numancia B
Page 1 of 6

Arandina

(Away)
12 Sept
Arandina
1 : 1
Almazan
05 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 0
Arandina
10 May
Becerril
2 : 0
Arandina
02 May
Arandina
2 : 1
Mirandes B
26 Apr
Arandina
3 : 3
Bembibre
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Tordesillas 34 24 6 4 62:24 78
2 Guijuelo 34 21 7 6 54:26 70
3 Palencia CA 34 21 5 8 48:24 68
4 Palencia CF 34 20 4 10 59:39 64
5 Santa Marta Tormes 34 18 8 8 53:31 62
6 Mansilles 34 15 12 7 31:27 57
7 Almazan 34 12 12 10 49:38 48
8 Mirandes B 34 13 8 13 43:35 47
9 La Virgen 34 12 8 14 31:37 44
10 Villaralbo 34 11 9 14 29:37 42
11 Leonesa B 34 12 6 16 38:43 42
12 Arandina 34 9 10 15 32:46 37
13 Colegios Diocesanos 34 10 6 18 33:54 36
14 Bembibre 34 8 10 16 38:52 34
15 Unionistas de Salamanca B 34 6 13 15 32:43 31
16 CD Mojados 34 7 10 17 28:55 31
17 Becerril 34 7 8 19 41:60 29
18 Numancia B 34 6 6 22 26:56 24
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 (Play Offs)