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Numancia B vs Mansilles

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Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026
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Match Events

86' Event
Nacho

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 game between Numancia B and Mansilles finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mansilles.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Numancia B
30%
Draws
62%
Mansilles
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mansilles

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mansilles come out ahead of Numancia B on wins alone.
  • Model gives Mansilles a 62% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Numancia B Clean Sheet 13%
Mansilles Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Numancia B Mansilles
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 12
Draws 4 12
Losses 20 5
Goals Scored 0.77 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.67 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Numancia B vs Mansilles
0:1
Oct 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Mansilles vs Numancia B
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Numancia B Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Mansilles Compare

Top Goalscorer Nacho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Numancia B 10 / 100
Mansilles 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Numancia B Mansilles

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mansilles Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Numancia B scored in 40% of their last 30 outings.

Mansilles has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 0.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Numancia B stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Numancia B VS Mansilles
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Numancia B

(Home)
10 May
Unionistas de Salamanca B
1 : 0
Numancia B
02 May
Numancia B
0 : 2
Guijuelo
25 Apr
Leonesa B
3 : 0
Numancia B
18 Apr
Numancia B
1 : 1
CD Mojados
11 Apr
Almazan
5 : 0
Numancia B
Page 1 of 6

Mansilles

(Away)
20 Sept
Bembibre
0 : 2
Mansilles
12 Sept
Mansilles
1 : 1
Palencia CA
05 Sept
Turegano
1 : 2
Mansilles
10 May
Leonesa B
1 : 1
Mansilles
02 May
Mansilles
0 : 1
CD Mojados
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Tordesillas 34 24 6 4 62:24 78
2 Guijuelo 34 21 7 6 54:26 70
3 Palencia CA 34 21 5 8 48:24 68
4 Palencia CF 34 20 4 10 59:39 64
5 Santa Marta Tormes 34 18 8 8 53:31 62
6 Mansilles 34 15 12 7 31:27 57
7 Almazan 34 12 12 10 49:38 48
8 Mirandes B 34 13 8 13 43:35 47
9 La Virgen 34 12 8 14 31:37 44
10 Villaralbo 34 11 9 14 29:37 42
11 Leonesa B 34 12 6 16 38:43 42
12 Arandina 34 9 10 15 32:46 37
13 Colegios Diocesanos 34 10 6 18 33:54 36
14 Bembibre 34 8 10 16 38:52 34
15 Unionistas de Salamanca B 34 6 13 15 32:43 31
16 CD Mojados 34 7 10 17 28:55 31
17 Becerril 34 7 8 19 41:60 29
18 Numancia B 34 6 6 22 26:56 24
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 (Play Offs)