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Numancia vs Atl. Madrid C

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Gonzalez J.
90' Event
Vicente I.

AI Match Summary

Numancia in this Segunda RFEF - Group 5 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Numancia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Numancia
20%
Draws
28%
Atl. Madrid C
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Numancia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Atl. Madrid C have won more games recently than Numancia.
  • Model gives Numancia a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 5 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Numancia Clean Sheet 19%
Atl. Madrid C Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Numancia Atl. Madrid C
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 15
Draws 10 9
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.21 2.3
Goals Conceded 0.72 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Numancia vs Atl. Madrid C
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Numancia Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vicente I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Atl. Madrid C Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Numancia 58 / 100
Atl. Madrid C 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Numancia Atl. Madrid C

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Numancia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atl. Madrid C has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Numancia remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Numancia scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Numancia VS Atl. Madrid C
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Numancia

(Home)
19 Sept
San Sebastian Reyes
0 : 0
Numancia
13 Sept
Numancia
2 : 0
Atl. Madrid C
06 Sept
Atletico Paso
0 : 2
Numancia
26 Aug
Numancia
2 : 1
Utebo FC
22 Aug
Numancia
2 : 1
Zaragoza
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Atl. Madrid C

(Away)
19 Sept
Atletico Paso
0 : 1
Atl. Madrid C
13 Sept
Numancia
2 : 0
Atl. Madrid C
05 Sept
Atl. Madrid C
2 : 1
Real Avila
10 May
Atl. Madrid C
1 : 1
CD Mostoles
03 May
San Sebastian Reyes B
1 : 0
Atl. Madrid C
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Numancia 3 2 1 0 4:0 7
2 San Sebastian Reyes 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
3 Conquense 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
4 RSD Alcala 3 2 0 1 9:4 6
5 Valladolid Promesas 3 2 0 1 7:2 6
6 Salamanca CF UDS 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
7 Atl. Madrid C 3 2 0 1 3:3 6
8 Navalcarnero 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
9 Albacete B 3 1 1 1 5:9 4
10 Guadalajara 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
11 Gimnastica Segoviana 3 1 0 2 6:7 3
12 Real Avila 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
13 Real Madrid C 2 0 2 0 0:0 2
14 Getafe B 3 0 2 1 3:4 2
15 CF Talavera 3 0 2 1 1:4 2
16 Atletico Tordesillas 3 0 1 2 6:9 1
17 Atletico Paso 3 0 1 2 0:3 1
18 Puertollano C.F. 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)