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Numancia vs CF Talavera - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Numancia host CF Talavera in the Segunda RFEF - Group 5. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Recent numbers: Numancia at 1.03 goals for, 0.72 against; CF Talavera at 1.07 for, 1.13 against. Head-to-head, Numancia have won 1 to CF Talavera's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 28, 2024, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 0.56) point toward Numancia. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Numancia
35%
Draws
32%
CF Talavera
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Numancia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Numancia are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 5 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Numancia Clean Sheet 20%
CF Talavera Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Numancia CF Talavera
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 11 10
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.03 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.72 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Numancia vs CF Talavera
1:0
Dec 16, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
CF Talavera vs Numancia
1:1
Sep 27, 2023 Copa Federacion
CF Talavera vs Numancia
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Numancia 36 / 100
CF Talavera 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Numancia CF Talavera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Numancia has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Numancia's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: CF Talavera conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.67 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Numancia VS CF Talavera
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Numancia

(Home)
04 Oct
Getafe B
0 : 0
Numancia
27 Sept
Numancia
1 : 0
Guadalajara
19 Sept
San Sebastian Reyes
0 : 0
Numancia
13 Sept
Numancia
2 : 0
Atl. Madrid C
06 Sept
Atletico Paso
0 : 2
Numancia
Page 1 of 6

CF Talavera

(Away)
06 Oct
CF Talavera
1 : 0
Albacete
03 Oct
Albacete B
0 : 4
CF Talavera
27 Sept
CF Talavera
2 : 1
Valladolid Promesas
20 Sept
Getafe B
1 : 1
CF Talavera
13 Sept
CF Talavera
0 : 0
Real Madrid C
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid C 5 4 0 1 8:5 12
2 Numancia 5 3 2 0 5:0 11
3 San Sebastian Reyes 5 3 1 1 7:3 10
4 Conquense 5 3 1 1 10:7 10
5 Valladolid Promesas 5 3 0 2 11:4 9
6 Salamanca CF UDS 5 3 0 2 7:5 9
7 CF Talavera 5 2 2 1 7:5 8
8 Gimnastica Segoviana 5 2 1 2 11:10 7
9 Navalcarnero 5 2 1 2 8:8 7
10 RSD Alcala 5 2 0 3 10:10 6
11 Real Avila 5 2 0 3 5:8 6
12 Guadalajara 5 1 2 2 8:9 5
13 Atletico Paso 5 1 2 2 3:5 5
14 Albacete B 5 1 2 2 7:15 5
15 Atletico Tordesillas 5 1 1 3 8:10 4
16 Puertollano C.F. 5 1 1 3 2:8 4
17 Getafe B 5 0 3 2 3:5 3
18 Real Madrid C 5 0 3 2 1:4 3
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)