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Numancia vs Conquense

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Sanchez A.
23' Event
De Frutos O.
53' Event
Ares J.

AI Match Summary

Conquense in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Conquense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Numancia
20%
Draws
40%
Conquense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Numancia haven't matched Conquense's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Numancia a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Numancia Clean Sheet 20%
Conquense Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Numancia Conquense
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 16
Draws 10 7
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.14 1.48
Goals Conceded 0.72 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2025 Club Friendly
Numancia vs Conquense
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Numancia Compare

Top Goalscorer De Frutos O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Conquense Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ares J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Numancia 36 / 100
Conquense 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Numancia Conquense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Numancia remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Numancia's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Conquense conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Numancia VS Conquense
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Numancia

(Home)
27 Sept
Numancia
1 : 0
Guadalajara
19 Sept
San Sebastian Reyes
0 : 0
Numancia
13 Sept
Numancia
2 : 0
Atl. Madrid C
06 Sept
Atletico Paso
0 : 2
Numancia
26 Aug
Numancia
2 : 1
Utebo FC
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Conquense

(Away)
27 Sept
Navalcarnero
1 : 3
Conquense
20 Sept
Conquense
1 : 0
Salamanca CF UDS
13 Sept
Gimnastica Segoviana
1 : 2
Conquense
06 Sept
Conquense
2 : 2
Getafe B
29 Aug
Conquense
4 : 1
Guadalajara
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