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Nuorese vs San Teodoro

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Serie D - Group G 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group G 2017/2018 game between Nuorese and San Teodoro finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nuorese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Nuorese
15%
Draws
0%
San Teodoro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nuorese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nuorese come out ahead of San Teodoro on wins alone.
  • Nuorese are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Nuorese have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Nuorese Clean Sheet 15%
San Teodoro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nuorese San Teodoro
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 4
Draws 7 8
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 0.87 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.74 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2018 Serie D - Group G
Nuorese vs San Teodoro
3:2
Oct 8, 2017 Serie D - Group G
San Teodoro vs Nuorese
1:2
Mar 19, 2017 Serie D - Group G
Nuorese vs San Teodoro
2:0
Nov 6, 2016 Serie D - Group G
San Teodoro vs Nuorese
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nuorese 39 / 100
San Teodoro 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nuorese San Teodoro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nuorese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Teodoro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

Away concern: San Teodoro has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Nuorese scored in 45% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nuorese VS San Teodoro
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 3.38
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Nuorese

(Home)
16 Nov
Nuorese
0 : 9
Cagliari
20 May
Lanusei Calcio
2 : 0
Nuorese
06 May
Nuorese
2 : 0
Cassino
29 Apr
Latina
1 : 0
Nuorese
22 Apr
Nuorese
3 : 2
Ostiamare
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San Teodoro

(Away)
06 May
SFF Atletico (Inactive)
3 : 1
San Teodoro
29 Apr
San Teodoro
4 : 6
Aprilia
22 Apr
Lupa Roma
5 : 0
San Teodoro
15 Apr
Flaminia
2 : 0
San Teodoro
08 Apr
San Teodoro
2 : 5
Albalonga
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Rieti 34 22 9 3 76:29 75
2 Albalonga 34 20 10 4 60:28 70
3 SFF Atletico (Inactive) 34 19 9 6 73:37 66
4 Trastevere Calcio 34 18 8 8 60:43 62
5 Latina 34 17 10 7 55:42 61
6 Aprilia 34 14 12 8 52:42 54
7 Cassino 34 15 7 12 50:48 52
8 Lupa Roma 34 12 10 12 47:49 44
9 Monterosi 34 12 8 14 47:42 44
10 Budoni Calcio 34 13 4 17 40:41 43
11 Ostiamare 34 11 9 14 47:56 42
12 Flaminia 34 11 8 15 42:48 41
13 Latte Dolce 34 10 10 14 39:45 40
14 Lanusei Calcio 34 11 4 19 41:55 37
15 Nuorese 34 9 8 17 28:46 35
16 Anzio Calcio 1924 34 7 7 20 28:68 28
17 Tortoli 34 7 5 22 36:65 26
18 San Teodoro 34 5 8 21 47:84 23
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2017/2018 (Play Offs)