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Nuova Florida vs Boreale - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
van Rijswijk K.

AI Match Summary

Nuova Florida in this Serie D - Group G 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nuova Florida.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Nuova Florida
20%
Draws
40%
Boreale
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Nuova Florida have won more games recently than Boreale.
  • Model gives Nuova Florida a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Nuova Florida Clean Sheet 20%
Boreale Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nuova Florida Boreale
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 4
Draws 8 12
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.1 0.6
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2024 Serie D - Group G
Nuova Florida vs Boreale
1:0
Nov 26, 2023 Serie D - Group G
Boreale vs Nuova Florida
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nuova Florida Compare

Top Goalscorer van Rijswijk K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Boreale Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nuova Florida 36 / 100
Boreale 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nuova Florida Boreale

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Nuova Florida scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Boreale has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Boreale's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Nuova Florida VS Boreale
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Nuova Florida

(Home)
12 May
Latte Dolce
3 : 2
Nuova Florida
05 May
Nuova Florida
0 : 3
Romana
27 Apr
Latte Dolce
2 : 2
Nuova Florida
21 Apr
Nuova Florida
3 : 1
Anzio Calcio 1924
14 Apr
Cassino
2 : 0
Nuova Florida
Page 1 of 6

Boreale

(Away)
05 May
Boreale
3 : 3
Cynthialbalonga
28 Apr
San Marzano
1 : 0
Boreale
21 Apr
Budoni Calcio
1 : 2
Boreale
13 Apr
Boreale
1 : 4
Cavese
07 Apr
Nuova Florida
1 : 0
Boreale
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cavese 34 24 6 4 57:24 78
2 Nocerina 34 17 11 6 45:27 62
3 Romana 34 17 10 7 50:33 61
4 Ischia 34 16 12 6 42:25 60
5 Cassino 34 16 10 8 39:22 58
6 Flaminia 34 12 14 8 42:36 50
7 Ostiamare 34 13 8 13 53:42 47
8 Cynthialbalonga 34 12 11 11 44:37 47
9 Sarrabus Ogliastra 34 12 10 12 47:50 46
10 San Marzano 34 10 13 11 36:36 43
11 Trastevere Calcio 34 10 8 16 41:50 38
12 Atletico Uri 34 10 7 17 30:48 37
13 Latte Dolce 34 9 10 15 32:42 37
14 Anzio Calcio 1924 34 9 8 17 38:59 35
15 San Felice Gladiator 34 8 10 16 35:46 34
16 Nuova Florida 34 9 12 13 36:44 33
17 Boreale 34 4 15 15 20:44 27
18 Budoni Calcio 34 5 11 18 27:49 26
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2023/2024 (Play Out)