Sport Picks
Nuova Florida vs Nocerina - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group G 2023/2024 
Match Events
57'
57'
Cardella F.
83'
83'
Carotenuto G.
AI Match Summary
Nocerina in this Serie D - Group G 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nocerina.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
15%
59%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nocerina
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Nocerina lately — more wins on the board than Nuova Florida.
- 59% — that's where the model lands on Nocerina taking it.
- Regular Serie D - Group G 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 13%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Nuova Florida Clean Sheet 27%
Nocerina Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nuova Florida | Nocerina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 37 |
| Wins | 9 | 12 |
| Draws | 8 | 14 |
| Losses | 13 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.11 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.37 | 0.95 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.79 | 0.74 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 28, 2024 Serie D - Group G
Nuova Florida vs Nocerina
0:2
Oct 1, 2023 Serie D - Group G
Nocerina vs Nuova Florida
2:2
Apr 10, 2021 Serie D - Group G
Nocerina vs Nuova Florida
1:2
Dec 19, 2020 Serie D - Group G
Nuova Florida vs Nocerina
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nuova Florida Compare
Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.4
Nocerina Compare
Top Goalscorer Cardella F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Carotenuto G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.67
Avg xA / game 0.41
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nuova Florida 30 / 100
Nocerina 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nuova Florida Nocerina
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Nocerina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Nuova Florida scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Nocerina let in goals in 59% of their last 37 matches.
Solid form: Nuova Florida remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Nocerina
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.38
0% Over 1.5 25%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Nuova Florida
(Home) 12 May
Latte Dolce
3 : 2 Nuova Florida
05 May
Nuova Florida
0 : 3 Romana
27 Apr
Latte Dolce
2 : 2 Nuova Florida
21 Apr
Nuova Florida
3 : 1 Anzio Calcio 1924
14 Apr
Cassino
2 : 0 Nuova Florida
Page 1 of 6
05 May
Nuova Florida
0 : 3 Romana
21 Apr
Nuova Florida
3 : 1 Anzio Calcio 1924
07 Apr
Nuova Florida
1 : 0 Boreale
24 Mar
Nuova Florida
0 : 0 Budoni Calcio
10 Mar
Nuova Florida
0 : 1 Cynthialbalonga
Page 1 of 3
Nocerina
(Away) 07 Oct
Nocerina
1 : 2 Turris
04 Oct
Melfi
0 : 1 Nocerina
27 Sept
Nocerina
3 : 0 Palmese 1914
20 Sept
Bisceglie
3 : 1 Nocerina
16 Sept
Nocerina
3 : 2 Ischia
Page 1 of 8
04 Oct
Melfi
0 : 1 Nocerina
20 Sept
Bisceglie
3 : 1 Nocerina
12 Sept
Manfredonia
2 : 2 Nocerina
26 Apr
Monastir
1 : 0 Nocerina
12 Apr
Atl. Lodigiani
0 : 0 Nocerina
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cavese | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 57:24 | 78 |
| 2 | Nocerina | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 45:27 | 62 |
| 3 | Romana | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 50:33 | 61 |
| 4 | Ischia | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 42:25 | 60 |
| 5 | Cassino | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 39:22 | 58 |
| 6 | Flaminia | 34 | 12 | 14 | 8 | 42:36 | 50 |
| 7 | Ostiamare | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 53:42 | 47 |
| 8 | Cynthialbalonga | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 44:37 | 47 |
| 9 | Sarrabus Ogliastra | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47:50 | 46 |
| 10 | San Marzano | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 36:36 | 43 |
| 11 | Trastevere Calcio | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 41:50 | 38 |
| 12 | Atletico Uri | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 30:48 | 37 |
| 13 | Latte Dolce | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 32:42 | 37 |
| 14 | Anzio Calcio 1924 | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 38:59 | 35 |
| 15 | San Felice Gladiator | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 35:46 | 34 |
| 16 | Nuova Florida | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 36:44 | 33 |
| 17 | Boreale | 34 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 20:44 | 27 |
| 18 | Budoni Calcio | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 27:49 | 26 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2023/2024 (Play Out)
