Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nuova Gioiese vs Igea Virtus

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

64' Event
Ordonez J.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 game between Nuova Gioiese and Igea Virtus finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Igea Virtus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Nuova Gioiese
30%
Draws
47%
Igea Virtus
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Igea Virtus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Igea Virtus carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Igea Virtus's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Nuova Gioiese Clean Sheet 18%
Igea Virtus Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nuova Gioiese Igea Virtus
Matches Played 29 39
Wins 2 21
Draws 3 11
Losses 24 7
Goals Scored 0.52 1.59
Goals Conceded 2.41 1.05
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Nuova Gioiese vs Igea Virtus
0:1
Oct 8, 2023 Serie D - Group I
Igea Virtus vs Nuova Gioiese
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nuova Gioiese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Igea Virtus Compare

Top Goalscorer Ordonez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nuova Gioiese 28 / 100
Igea Virtus 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nuova Gioiese Igea Virtus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Igea Virtus Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Igea Virtus let in goals in 64% of their last 39 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Nuova Gioiese found the back of the net in 38% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: Nuova Gioiese remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Igea Virtus
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Nuova Gioiese

(Home)
05 May
Castrovillari
0 : 2
Nuova Gioiese
28 Apr
Nuova Gioiese
1 : 2
Trapani
21 Apr
USD Ragusa
2 : 1
Nuova Gioiese
14 Apr
Nuova Gioiese
2 : 2
S. Agata
28 Mar
Licata
4 : 0
Nuova Gioiese
Page 1 of 6

Igea Virtus

(Away)
16 Sept
Igea Virtus
4 : 3
Vibonese
12 Sept
Lamezia
2 : 2
Igea Virtus
06 Sept
Igea Virtus
4 : 2
Calcio Avola
03 May
Lamezia
4 : 1
Igea Virtus
26 Apr
Igea Virtus
1 : 1
ACR Messina
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trapani 34 30 4 0 95:15 94
2 Siracusa 34 25 6 3 79:26 81
3 Vibonese 34 22 6 6 67:29 72
4 Reggina 34 19 8 7 54:25 65
5 AS Acireale 34 15 9 10 39:41 54
6 S. Agata 34 15 7 12 46:35 52
7 Real Casalnuovo 34 15 6 13 52:49 51
8 USD Ragusa 34 14 8 12 41:38 50
9 Canicatti 34 14 6 14 55:51 48
10 Igea Virtus 34 13 6 15 38:40 45
11 Licata 34 12 7 15 43:54 43
12 Akragas 34 12 6 16 42:53 42
13 Sancataldese 34 9 10 15 32:43 37
14 Portici 1906 34 8 8 18 32:55 32
15 San Luca 34 6 12 16 37:55 29
16 Locri 1909 34 7 7 20 34:68 28
17 Castrovillari 34 2 12 20 29:76 17
18 Nuova Gioiese 34 3 2 29 18:80 11
19 Lamezia Terme 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Out)