Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nuova Gioiese vs Igea Virtus

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

64' Event
Ordonez J.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 game between Nuova Gioiese and Igea Virtus finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Igea Virtus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Nuova Gioiese
20%
Draws
38%
Igea Virtus
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nuova Gioiese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Igea Virtus carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Nuova Gioiese's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Nuova Gioiese Clean Sheet 19%
Igea Virtus Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nuova Gioiese Igea Virtus
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 2 15
Draws 3 10
Losses 24 7
Goals Scored 0 1.5
Goals Conceded 0 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Nuova Gioiese vs Igea Virtus
0:1
Oct 8, 2023 Serie D - Group I
Igea Virtus vs Nuova Gioiese
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nuova Gioiese Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Igea Virtus Compare

Top Goalscorer Ordonez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nuova Gioiese 42 / 100
Igea Virtus 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nuova Gioiese Igea Virtus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Igea Virtus's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Nuova Gioiese found the back of the net in 38% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Igea Virtus conceded in 59% of 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Igea Virtus
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Nuova Gioiese

(Home)
05 May
Castrovillari
0 : 2
Nuova Gioiese
28 Apr
Nuova Gioiese
1 : 2
Trapani
21 Apr
USD Ragusa
2 : 1
Nuova Gioiese
14 Apr
Nuova Gioiese
2 : 2
S. Agata
28 Mar
Licata
4 : 0
Nuova Gioiese
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Igea Virtus

(Away)
03 May
Lamezia
4 : 1
Igea Virtus
26 Apr
Igea Virtus
1 : 1
ACR Messina
22 Apr
Igea Virtus
2 : 1
Vibonese
19 Apr
A.C. Savoia
3 : 0
Igea Virtus
02 Apr
USD Ragusa
1 : 0
Igea Virtus
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Trapani34304095:1594
2Siracusa34256379:2681
3Vibonese34226667:2972
4Reggina34198754:2565
5AS Acireale341591039:4154
6S. Agata341571246:3552
7Real Casalnuovo341561352:4951
8USD Ragusa341481241:3850
9Canicatti341461455:5148
10Igea Virtus341361538:4045
11Licata341271543:5443
12Akragas341261642:5342
13Sancataldese349101532:4337
14Portici 190634881832:5532
15San Luca346121637:5529
16Locri 190934772034:6828
17Castrovillari342122029:7617
18Nuova Gioiese34322918:8011
19Lamezia Terme00000:00
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Out)