Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group I 2023/2024

Nuova Gioiese

0 - 3

Locri 1909

Our Tip

Match Events

17'

Marsico A.

(Penalty)

56'

Pappalardo M.

90'

Marsico A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 game between Nuova Gioiese and Locri 1909 finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Locri 1909.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Nuova Gioiese

44%

Draws

20%

Locri 1909

Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Locri 1909 carry the better recent record into this one.
Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
Regular Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%

Nuova Gioiese Clean Sheet 19%

Locri 1909 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Nuova Gioiese	Locri 1909
Matches Played	29	31
Wins	2	6
Draws	3	7
Losses	24	18
Goals Scored	0	1.5
Goals Conceded	0	2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2024 Serie D - Group I

Nuova Gioiese vs Locri 1909

Possession: 48% - 57% Cards: 3 - 1

0:3

Oct 1, 2023 Serie D - Group I

Locri 1909 vs Nuova Gioiese

Possession: 59% - 55% Cards: 2 - 3

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nuova Gioiese Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Locri 1909 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pappalardo M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Marsico A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nuova Gioiese 36 / 100

Locri 1909 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Nuova Gioiese Locri 1909

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LOC Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:3

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Locri 1909 conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Locri 1909 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Nuova Gioiese's goal record stands at 38% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Locri 1909

0 Goals Scored 1.5

0 Goals Conceded 2

0% Over 1.5 100%

0% Over 2.5 75%

0% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Trapani	34	30	4	0	95:15	94
2	Siracusa	34	25	6	3	79:26	81
3	Vibonese	34	22	6	6	67:29	72
4	Reggina	34	19	8	7	54:25	65
5	AS Acireale	34	15	9	10	39:41	54
6	S. Agata	34	15	7	12	46:35	52
7	Real Casalnuovo	34	15	6	13	52:49	51
8	USD Ragusa	34	14	8	12	41:38	50
9	Canicatti	34	14	6	14	55:51	48
10	Igea Virtus	34	13	6	15	38:40	45
11	Licata	34	12	7	15	43:54	43
12	Akragas	34	12	6	16	42:53	42
13	Sancataldese	34	9	10	15	32:43	37
14	Portici 1906	34	8	8	18	32:55	32
15	San Luca	34	6	12	16	37:55	29
16	Locri 1909	34	7	7	20	34:68	28
17	Castrovillari	34	2	12	20	29:76	17
18	Nuova Gioiese	34	3	2	29	18:80	11
19	Lamezia Terme	0	0	0	0	0:0	0