Sport Picks
Nuova Gioiese vs S. Agata - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 
Match Events
19'
19'
Alagna F.
33'
33'
Titizian S.
66'
66'
Mincica S.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: S. Agata
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- S. Agata have won more games recently than Nuova Gioiese.
- Model gives S. Agata a 39% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Nuova Gioiese Clean Sheet 20%
S. Agata Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nuova Gioiese | S. Agata |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 32 |
| Wins | 2 | 8 |
| Draws | 3 | 10 |
| Losses | 24 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.52 | 1.47 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.41 | 1.59 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.42 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 14, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Nuova Gioiese vs S. Agata
2:2
Dec 3, 2023 Serie D - Group I
S. Agata vs Nuova Gioiese
6:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nuova Gioiese Compare
Top Goalscorer Titizian S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Chazarreta M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71
S. Agata Compare
Top Goalscorer Alagna F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mincica S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nuova Gioiese 28 / 100
S. Agata 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nuova Gioiese S. Agata
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick S. Agata Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
S. Agata has conceded goals in 88% of their last 32 outings.
Games between these two average 5.00 goals.
Nuova Gioiese scored in 38% of their last 29 games.
Recent resilience: Nuova Gioiese stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS S. Agata
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Nuova Gioiese
(Home) 05 May
Castrovillari
0 : 2 Nuova Gioiese
28 Apr
Nuova Gioiese
1 : 2 Trapani
21 Apr
USD Ragusa
2 : 1 Nuova Gioiese
14 Apr
Nuova Gioiese
2 : 2 S. Agata
28 Mar
Licata
4 : 0 Nuova Gioiese
Page 1 of 6
28 Apr
Nuova Gioiese
1 : 2 Trapani
14 Apr
Nuova Gioiese
2 : 2 S. Agata
24 Mar
Nuova Gioiese
2 : 3 Portici 1906
10 Mar
Nuova Gioiese
2 : 1 San Luca
25 Feb
Nuova Gioiese
0 : 1 AS Acireale
Page 1 of 3
S. Agata
(Away) 11 May
AS Acireale
2 : 2 S. Agata
04 May
Castrumfavara
0 : 2 S. Agata
27 Apr
S. Agata
1 : 3 Scafatese
17 Apr
Sancataldese
2 : 1 S. Agata
13 Apr
S. Agata
1 : 1 Pompei
Page 1 of 7
11 May
AS Acireale
2 : 2 S. Agata
04 May
Castrumfavara
0 : 2 S. Agata
17 Apr
Sancataldese
2 : 1 S. Agata
06 Apr
Locri 1909
1 : 2 S. Agata
23 Mar
Nissa
3 : 2 S. Agata
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trapani | 34 | 30 | 4 | 0 | 95:15 | 94 |
| 2 | Siracusa | 34 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 79:26 | 81 |
| 3 | Vibonese | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 67:29 | 72 |
| 4 | Reggina | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 54:25 | 65 |
| 5 | AS Acireale | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 39:41 | 54 |
| 6 | S. Agata | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 46:35 | 52 |
| 7 | Real Casalnuovo | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 52:49 | 51 |
| 8 | USD Ragusa | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 41:38 | 50 |
| 9 | Canicatti | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 55:51 | 48 |
| 10 | Igea Virtus | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 38:40 | 45 |
| 11 | Licata | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 43:54 | 43 |
| 12 | Akragas | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 42:53 | 42 |
| 13 | Sancataldese | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 32:43 | 37 |
| 14 | Portici 1906 | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 32:55 | 32 |
| 15 | San Luca | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 37:55 | 29 |
| 16 | Locri 1909 | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 34:68 | 28 |
| 17 | Castrovillari | 34 | 2 | 12 | 20 | 29:76 | 17 |
| 18 | Nuova Gioiese | 34 | 3 | 2 | 29 | 18:80 | 11 |
| 19 | Lamezia Terme | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Out)
