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Stadium Background

Nuova Gioiese vs S. Agata

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Alagna F.
33' Event
Titizian S.
66' Event
Mincica S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Nuova Gioiese
33%
Draws
40%
S. Agata
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: S. Agata

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • S. Agata have won more games recently than Nuova Gioiese.
  • Model gives S. Agata a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Nuova Gioiese Clean Sheet 20%
S. Agata Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nuova Gioiese S. Agata
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 2 8
Draws 3 10
Losses 24 14
Goals Scored 0 0.75
Goals Conceded 0 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Nuova Gioiese vs S. Agata
2:2
Dec 3, 2023 Serie D - Group I
S. Agata vs Nuova Gioiese
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nuova Gioiese Compare

Top Goalscorer Titizian S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chazarreta M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

S. Agata Compare

Top Goalscorer Alagna F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mincica S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nuova Gioiese 28 / 100
S. Agata 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nuova Gioiese S. Agata

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AGA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

S. Agata has conceded goals in 88% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Nuova Gioiese scored in 38% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: Nuova Gioiese stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS S. Agata
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Trapani34304095:1594
2Siracusa34256379:2681
3Vibonese34226667:2972
4Reggina34198754:2565
5AS Acireale341591039:4154
6S. Agata341571246:3552
7Real Casalnuovo341561352:4951
8USD Ragusa341481241:3850
9Canicatti341461455:5148
10Igea Virtus341361538:4045
11Licata341271543:5443
12Akragas341261642:5342
13Sancataldese349101532:4337
14Portici 190634881832:5532
15San Luca346121637:5529
16Locri 190934772034:6828
17Castrovillari342122029:7617
18Nuova Gioiese34322918:8011
19Lamezia Terme00000:00