Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nuova Gioiese vs Siracusa

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Favetta C.
31' Event
Forchignone M.
61' Event
Maggio D.

AI Match Summary

Siracusa in this Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Siracusa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Nuova Gioiese
30%
Draws
51%
Siracusa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Siracusa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Siracusa have won more games recently than Nuova Gioiese.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Siracusa taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Nuova Gioiese Clean Sheet 19%
Siracusa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nuova Gioiese Siracusa
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 2 10
Draws 3 11
Losses 24 9
Goals Scored 0.52 1.57
Goals Conceded 2.41 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Siracusa vs Nuova Gioiese
2:0
Nov 5, 2023 Serie D - Group I
Nuova Gioiese vs Siracusa
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nuova Gioiese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Siracusa Compare

Top Goalscorer Maggio D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Favetta C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nuova Gioiese 20 / 100
Siracusa 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nuova Gioiese Siracusa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Siracusa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Siracusa conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Nuova Gioiese scored in 38% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: Nuova Gioiese remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Siracusa
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Nuova Gioiese

(Home)
05 May
Castrovillari
0 : 2
Nuova Gioiese
28 Apr
Nuova Gioiese
1 : 2
Trapani
21 Apr
USD Ragusa
2 : 1
Nuova Gioiese
14 Apr
Nuova Gioiese
2 : 2
S. Agata
28 Mar
Licata
4 : 0
Nuova Gioiese
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Siracusa

(Away)
27 Sept
Siracusa
1 : 0
ASD Modica Calcio
20 Sept
Digiesse PraiaTortora
0 : 0
Siracusa
16 Sept
Siracusa
2 : 1
Gela
12 Sept
Vibonese
1 : 1
Siracusa
06 Sept
Siracusa
4 : 2
Athletic Palermo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trapani 34 30 4 0 95:15 94
2 Siracusa 34 25 6 3 79:26 81
3 Vibonese 34 22 6 6 67:29 72
4 Reggina 34 19 8 7 54:25 65
5 AS Acireale 34 15 9 10 39:41 54
6 S. Agata 34 15 7 12 46:35 52
7 Real Casalnuovo 34 15 6 13 52:49 51
8 USD Ragusa 34 14 8 12 41:38 50
9 Canicatti 34 14 6 14 55:51 48
10 Igea Virtus 34 13 6 15 38:40 45
11 Licata 34 12 7 15 43:54 43
12 Akragas 34 12 6 16 42:53 42
13 Sancataldese 34 9 10 15 32:43 37
14 Portici 1906 34 8 8 18 32:55 32
15 San Luca 34 6 12 16 37:55 29
16 Locri 1909 34 7 7 20 34:68 28
17 Castrovillari 34 2 12 20 29:76 17
18 Nuova Gioiese 34 3 2 29 18:80 11
19 Lamezia Terme 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Out)