Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nuova Gioiese vs Vibonese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Tandara M.
45' Event
Puca A.
85' Event
Esposito A.

AI Match Summary

Vibonese in this Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vibonese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Nuova Gioiese
20%
Draws
57%
Vibonese
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vibonese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Vibonese have won more games recently than Nuova Gioiese.
  • Model gives Vibonese a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Vibonese here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Nuova Gioiese Clean Sheet 28%
Vibonese Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nuova Gioiese Vibonese
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 2 9
Draws 3 8
Losses 24 13
Goals Scored 0.52 1.17
Goals Conceded 2.41 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 7, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Nuova Gioiese vs Vibonese
0:3
Sep 10, 2023 Serie D - Group I
Vibonese vs Nuova Gioiese
2:0
Jan 5, 2014 Serie D - Group I
Nuova Gioiese vs Vibonese
0:1
Sep 1, 2013 Serie D - Group I
Vibonese vs Nuova Gioiese
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nuova Gioiese Compare

Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Vibonese Compare

Top Goalscorer Tandara M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Puca A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nuova Gioiese 10 / 100
Vibonese 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nuova Gioiese Vibonese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vibonese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vibonese let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Nuova Gioiese scored in 38% of their last 29 outings.

Nuova Gioiese went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Vibonese
0 Goals Scored 0.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nuova Gioiese

(Home)
05 May
Castrovillari
0 : 2
Nuova Gioiese
28 Apr
Nuova Gioiese
1 : 2
Trapani
21 Apr
USD Ragusa
2 : 1
Nuova Gioiese
14 Apr
Nuova Gioiese
2 : 2
S. Agata
28 Mar
Licata
4 : 0
Nuova Gioiese
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Vibonese

(Away)
27 Sept
Nissa
0 : 2
Vibonese
20 Sept
Vibonese
3 : 0
Athletic Palermo
16 Sept
Igea Virtus
4 : 3
Vibonese
12 Sept
Vibonese
1 : 1
Siracusa
06 Sept
Trapani
0 : 4
Vibonese
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trapani 34 30 4 0 95:15 94
2 Siracusa 34 25 6 3 79:26 81
3 Vibonese 34 22 6 6 67:29 72
4 Reggina 34 19 8 7 54:25 65
5 AS Acireale 34 15 9 10 39:41 54
6 S. Agata 34 15 7 12 46:35 52
7 Real Casalnuovo 34 15 6 13 52:49 51
8 USD Ragusa 34 14 8 12 41:38 50
9 Canicatti 34 14 6 14 55:51 48
10 Igea Virtus 34 13 6 15 38:40 45
11 Licata 34 12 7 15 43:54 43
12 Akragas 34 12 6 16 42:53 42
13 Sancataldese 34 9 10 15 32:43 37
14 Portici 1906 34 8 8 18 32:55 32
15 San Luca 34 6 12 16 37:55 29
16 Locri 1909 34 7 7 20 34:68 28
17 Castrovillari 34 2 12 20 29:76 17
18 Nuova Gioiese 34 3 2 29 18:80 11
19 Lamezia Terme 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Out)