Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nuova Gioiese vs Vibonese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Tandara M.
45' Event
Puca A.
85' Event
Esposito A.

AI Match Summary

Vibonese in this Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vibonese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Nuova Gioiese
44%
Draws
20%
Vibonese
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Vibonese have won more games recently than Nuova Gioiese.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Vibonese here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Nuova Gioiese Clean Sheet 23%
Vibonese Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nuova Gioiese Vibonese
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 2 8
Draws 3 9
Losses 24 14
Goals Scored 0 0.88
Goals Conceded 0 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 7, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Nuova Gioiese vs Vibonese
0:3
Sep 10, 2023 Serie D - Group I
Vibonese vs Nuova Gioiese
2:0
Jan 5, 2014 Serie D - Group I
Nuova Gioiese vs Vibonese
0:1
Sep 1, 2013 Serie D - Group I
Vibonese vs Nuova Gioiese
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nuova Gioiese Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Vibonese Compare

Top Goalscorer Tandara M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Puca A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nuova Gioiese 37 / 100
Vibonese 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nuova Gioiese Vibonese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vibonese let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Nuova Gioiese scored in 38% of their last 29 outings.

Nuova Gioiese went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Vibonese
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nuova Gioiese

(Home)
05 May
Castrovillari
0 : 2
Nuova Gioiese
28 Apr
Nuova Gioiese
1 : 2
Trapani
21 Apr
USD Ragusa
2 : 1
Nuova Gioiese
14 Apr
Nuova Gioiese
2 : 2
S. Agata
28 Mar
Licata
4 : 0
Nuova Gioiese
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Vibonese

(Away)
10 May
Vibonese
1 : 0
AS Acireale
03 May
Vibonese
1 : 0
AS Acireale
26 Apr
Gela
1 : 1
Vibonese
22 Apr
Igea Virtus
2 : 1
Vibonese
19 Apr
Vibonese
2 : 3
Athletic Palermo
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Trapani34304095:1594
2Siracusa34256379:2681
3Vibonese34226667:2972
4Reggina34198754:2565
5AS Acireale341591039:4154
6S. Agata341571246:3552
7Real Casalnuovo341561352:4951
8USD Ragusa341481241:3850
9Canicatti341461455:5148
10Igea Virtus341361538:4045
11Licata341271543:5443
12Akragas341261642:5342
13Sancataldese349101532:4337
14Portici 190634881832:5532
15San Luca346121637:5529
16Locri 190934772034:6828
17Castrovillari342122029:7617
18Nuova Gioiese34322918:8011
19Lamezia Terme00000:00
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Out)