Sport Picks

Stadium Background

NuPS vs EsPa

Finland Finland

Suomen Cup 2023
2 - 1
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

70' Event
Own Goal
84' Event
Vuorela N.
88' Event
Aalto J.

AI Match Summary

NuPS in this Suomen Cup 2023 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
NuPS
15%
Draws
57%
EsPa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: EsPa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to EsPa lately — more wins on the board than NuPS.
  • EsPa are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • EsPa arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor NuPS, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and NuPS have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
NuPS Clean Sheet 10%
EsPa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric NuPS EsPa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 7
Draws 2 2
Losses 22 21
Goals Scored 1.1 1.27
Goals Conceded 3.1 3.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2023 Suomen Cup
NuPS vs EsPa
2:1
Jul 29, 2017 Kakkonen Group B
EsPa vs NuPS
4:2
May 31, 2017 Kakkonen Group B
NuPS vs EsPa
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

NuPS Compare

Top Goalscorer Vuorela N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

EsPa Compare

Top Goalscorer Aalto J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NuPS 10 / 100
EsPa 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
NuPS EsPa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EsPa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

EsPa let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.

NuPS scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

EsPa lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

NuPS VS EsPa
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
3 Goals Conceded 3.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

NuPS

(Home)
15 Apr
NuPS
0 : 2
HJS
17 May
NuPS
1 : 2
JaPS
07 May
NuPS
2 : 1
EsPa
30 Sept
MuSa
5 : 0
NuPS
22 Sept
NuPS
1 : 2
Viikingit
Page 1 of 6

EsPa

(Away)
29 May
Klubi 04
8 : 2
EsPa
06 May
EsPa
1 : 0
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ)
09 Apr
EsPa 2
0 : 6
EsPa
16 Apr
EsPa
0 : 1
Honka
07 May
NuPS
2 : 1
EsPa
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
PPJ/Ruoholahti 3
Toukolan Teras 2
VJS 2
Kiffen 1
Kuopion Elo 3
Vaajakoski 1
STPS 0
PEPO 6
Fish United 0
Sporting Kristina 5
Tove 1
Pallo-Iirot 2
Toolon Vesa 0
PuiU Helsinki 5
FC Futura 3
NJS 2
ACF 1
NoPS 5
TPS 0
Ilves 2
Dons 1
Tuusulan Palloseura 2
JaPS 2 1
KaPa 4
Toukolan Teras 2 0
HPS 6
Polin Pallo 0
Atlantis 12
SJK U21 1
KePS 3
Jaro 1
KPV Kokkola 2
Lahti/69 0
MyPa 1
LehPa Joensuu 0
KTP 2
Poxyt 0
GrIFK 3
VJS 2 1
Gnistan 5
NuPS 2
EsPa 1
LPS 1
JaPS 3
Ylojarvi United 0
KaaPo 4
Abo IFK 0
Ekenas IF 4
SJK Akatemia 1
SJK 5
TBD -
AC Oulu -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Haka -
SJK-j Apollo 7
PonPa 1
Tervarit 0
VPS 2
OLS Oulu 3
JS Hercules 0
OTP 4
GBK Kokkola 3
HooGee 7
PPS/Old Stars 4
ToBK 1
Malmin Ponnistajat 2
Ekenas IF 2 3
PP-70 Tampere 2
MuSa 1
SalPa 2
TPS 3 0
Tampere Utd 5
TBD -
Inter Turku -
FC Inter Turku 2 3
Ilves 2 0
Lasten 1
PIF Pargas 3
HJK -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Honka -
JaPS/M35 1
KJP Kouvola 0
PK-37 1
Lahden Reipas 3
Atletico Malmi 2
FC Kirkkonummi 1
Gnistan/Ogeli 2 2
Honka Akatemia 4
Jazz Pori 4
Ilves-Kissat 2
AC Estudiantes 0
HJS 4
Sisu 0
VIFK 2
HauPa 0
RoPS Rovaniemi 2
EuPa 1
TuRaKe 2
VG-62 Naantali 3
Haka 2 2
I-HK 0
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ) 13
KoiPS 1
Mariehamn 4
Kultsu Joutseno 1
Mikkelin 5
Edustus IPS 0
JJK Jyvaskyla 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KuPS -
Kyparamaki 3
NiemU 1
Jippo 1
Lahti 2
Toolon Taisto 1
EPS 7
PK-35 2
HIFK 3
1/32-finals
PPJ/Ruoholahti 0
VJS 3
Kuopion Elo 1
PEPO 5
Sporting Kristina 1
Pallo-Iirot 2
PuiU Helsinki 0
FC Futura 1
NoPS 1
Ilves 5
Tuusulan Palloseura 0
KaPa 7
HPS 0
Atlantis 6
KePS 1
KPV Kokkola 2
MyPa 0
KTP 14
GrIFK 2
Gnistan 3
NuPS 1
JaPS 2
KaaPo 1
Ekenas IF 4
SJK 1
AC Oulu 4
TBD -
Haka -
SJK-j Apollo 0
VPS 11
OLS Oulu 2
OTP 3
HooGee 2
Malmin Ponnistajat 0
Ekenas IF 2 0
SalPa 2
Tampere Utd 0
Inter Turku 3
FC Inter Turku 2 1
PIF Pargas 0
HJK -
TBD -
TBD -
Honka -
JaPS/M35 0
Lahden Reipas 5
Atletico Malmi 2
Honka Akatemia 4
Jazz Pori 4
HJS 1
VIFK 4
RoPS Rovaniemi 2
TuRaKe 1
VG-62 Naantali 0
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ) 0
Mariehamn 3
Mikkelin 1
JJK Jyvaskyla 2
TBD -
KuPS -
Kyparamaki 0
Lahti 1
EPS 1
HIFK 4
1/16-finals
VJS 3
PEPO 2
Pallo-Iirot 5
FC Futura 1
Ilves 3
KaPa 1
Atlantis 0
KPV Kokkola 1
KTP 2
Gnistan 1
JaPS 0
Ekenas IF 1
AC Oulu 2
Haka 1
VPS 3
OTP 1
HooGee 0
SalPa 6
Inter Turku 8
FC Inter Turku 2 0
HJK 1
Honka 2
Lahden Reipas 2
Honka Akatemia 3
Jazz Pori 0
VIFK 2
TuRaKe 0
Mariehamn 7
JJK Jyvaskyla 0
KuPS 2
Lahti 0
HIFK 1
1/8-finals
VJS 2
Pallo-Iirot 1
Ilves 4
KPV Kokkola 1
KTP 3
Ekenas IF 0
AC Oulu 1
VPS 0
SalPa 1
Inter Turku 0
Honka 5
Honka Akatemia 1
VIFK 0
Mariehamn 1
KuPS 1
HIFK 0
Quarter-finals
VJS 0
Ilves 4
KTP 1
AC Oulu 2
SalPa 1
Honka 3
Mariehamn 2
KuPS 1
Semi-finals
Ilves 1
AC Oulu 0
Honka 1
Mariehamn 0
Final
Ilves 2
Honka 1