Sport Picks

Stadium Background

NuPS vs EsPa

Finland Finland

Suomen Cup 2023
2 - 1
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

70' Event
Own Goal
84' Event
Vuorela N.
88' Event
Aalto J.

AI Match Summary

NuPS in this Suomen Cup 2023 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
NuPS
6%
Draws
90%
EsPa
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: EsPa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to EsPa lately — more wins on the board than NuPS.
  • EsPa are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • EsPa arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor NuPS, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and NuPS have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
NuPS Clean Sheet 10%
EsPa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric NuPS EsPa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 7
Draws 2 2
Losses 22 21
Goals Scored 0.88 1.25
Goals Conceded 3 3.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 3.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2023 Suomen Cup
NuPS vs EsPa
2:1
Jul 29, 2017 Kakkonen Group B
EsPa vs NuPS
4:2
May 31, 2017 Kakkonen Group B
NuPS vs EsPa
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

NuPS Compare

Top Goalscorer Vuorela N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

EsPa Compare

Top Goalscorer Aalto J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NuPS 10 / 100
EsPa 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
NuPS EsPa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ESP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

EsPa let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.

NuPS scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

EsPa lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

NuPS VS EsPa
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
3 Goals Conceded 3.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

NuPS

(Home)
15 Apr
NuPS
0 : 2
HJS
17 May
NuPS
1 : 2
JaPS
07 May
NuPS
2 : 1
EsPa
30 Sept
MuSa
5 : 0
NuPS
22 Sept
NuPS
1 : 2
Viikingit
Page 1 of 6

EsPa

(Away)
29 May
Klubi 04
8 : 2
EsPa
06 May
EsPa
1 : 0
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ)
09 Apr
EsPa 2
0 : 6
EsPa
16 Apr
EsPa
0 : 1
Honka
07 May
NuPS
2 : 1
EsPa
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
PPJ/Ruoholahti3
Toukolan Teras2
VJS2
Kiffen1
Kuopion Elo3
Vaajakoski1
STPS0
PEPO6
Fish United0
Sporting Kristina5
Tove1
Pallo-Iirot2
Toolon Vesa0
PuiU Helsinki5
FC Futura3
NJS2
ACF1
NoPS5
TPS0
Ilves2
Dons1
Tuusulan Palloseura2
JaPS 21
KaPa4
Toukolan Teras 20
HPS6
Polin Pallo0
Atlantis12
SJK U211
KePS3
Jaro1
KPV Kokkola2
Lahti/690
MyPa1
LehPa Joensuu0
KTP2
Poxyt0
GrIFK3
VJS 21
Gnistan5
NuPS2
EsPa1
LPS1
JaPS3
Ylojarvi United0
KaaPo4
Abo IFK0
Ekenas IF4
SJK Akatemia1
SJK5
TBD-
AC Oulu-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Haka-
SJK-j Apollo7
PonPa1
Tervarit0
VPS2
OLS Oulu3
JS Hercules0
OTP4
GBK Kokkola3
HooGee7
PPS/Old Stars4
ToBK1
Malmin Ponnistajat2
Ekenas IF 23
PP-70 Tampere2
MuSa1
SalPa2
TPS 30
Tampere Utd5
TBD-
Inter Turku-
FC Inter Turku 23
Ilves 20
Lasten1
PIF Pargas3
HJK-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Honka-
JaPS/M351
KJP Kouvola0
PK-371
Lahden Reipas3
Atletico Malmi2
FC Kirkkonummi1
Gnistan/Ogeli 22
Honka Akatemia4
Jazz Pori4
Ilves-Kissat2
AC Estudiantes0
HJS4
Sisu0
VIFK2
HauPa0
RoPS Rovaniemi2
EuPa1
TuRaKe2
VG-62 Naantali3
Haka 22
I-HK0
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ)13
KoiPS1
Mariehamn4
Kultsu Joutseno1
Mikkelin5
Edustus IPS0
JJK Jyvaskyla2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
KuPS-
Kyparamaki3
NiemU1
Jippo1
Lahti2
Toolon Taisto1
EPS7
PK-352
HIFK3
1/32-finals
PPJ/Ruoholahti0
VJS3
Kuopion Elo1
PEPO5
Sporting Kristina1
Pallo-Iirot2
PuiU Helsinki0
FC Futura1
NoPS1
Ilves5
Tuusulan Palloseura0
KaPa7
HPS0
Atlantis6
KePS1
KPV Kokkola2
MyPa0
KTP14
GrIFK2
Gnistan3
NuPS1
JaPS2
KaaPo1
Ekenas IF4
SJK1
AC Oulu4
TBD-
Haka-
SJK-j Apollo0
VPS11
OLS Oulu2
OTP3
HooGee2
Malmin Ponnistajat0
Ekenas IF 20
SalPa2
Tampere Utd0
Inter Turku3
FC Inter Turku 21
PIF Pargas0
HJK-
TBD-
TBD-
Honka-
JaPS/M350
Lahden Reipas5
Atletico Malmi2
Honka Akatemia4
Jazz Pori4
HJS1
VIFK4
RoPS Rovaniemi2
TuRaKe1
VG-62 Naantali0
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ)0
Mariehamn3
Mikkelin1
JJK Jyvaskyla2
TBD-
KuPS-
Kyparamaki0
Lahti1
EPS1
HIFK4
1/16-finals
VJS3
PEPO2
Pallo-Iirot5
FC Futura1
Ilves3
KaPa1
Atlantis0
KPV Kokkola1
KTP2
Gnistan1
JaPS0
Ekenas IF1
AC Oulu2
Haka1
VPS3
OTP1
HooGee0
SalPa6
Inter Turku8
FC Inter Turku 20
HJK1
Honka2
Lahden Reipas2
Honka Akatemia3
Jazz Pori0
VIFK2
TuRaKe0
Mariehamn7
JJK Jyvaskyla0
KuPS2
Lahti0
HIFK1
1/8-finals
VJS2
Pallo-Iirot1
Ilves4
KPV Kokkola1
KTP3
Ekenas IF0
AC Oulu1
VPS0
SalPa1
Inter Turku0
Honka5
Honka Akatemia1
VIFK0
Mariehamn1
KuPS1
HIFK0
Quarter-finals
VJS0
Ilves4
KTP1
AC Oulu2
SalPa1
Honka3
Mariehamn2
KuPS1
Semi-finals
Ilves1
AC Oulu0
Honka1
Mariehamn0
Final
Ilves2
Honka1