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Nurafshon vs Osiyo Tashkent

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Pro Liga 2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Osiyo Tashkent in this Pro Liga 2016 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Osiyo Tashkent.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Nurafshon
30%
Draws
23%
Osiyo Tashkent
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nurafshon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Osiyo Tashkent have won more games recently than Nurafshon.
  • Win probability leans Nurafshon's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Osiyo Tashkent here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Nurafshon Clean Sheet 19%
Osiyo Tashkent Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nurafshon Osiyo Tashkent
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 14
Draws 7 6
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.07 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2017 Pro Liga
Osiyo Tashkent vs Nurafshon
0:0
May 11, 2017 Pro Liga
Nurafshon vs Osiyo Tashkent
0:1
Nov 12, 2016 Pro Liga
Nurafshon vs Osiyo Tashkent
2:3
Jun 3, 2016 Pro Liga
Osiyo Tashkent vs Nurafshon
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nurafshon 85 / 100
Osiyo Tashkent 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nurafshon Osiyo Tashkent

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nurafshon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Osiyo Tashkent conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Nurafshon has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Osiyo Tashkent lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nurafshon VS Osiyo Tashkent
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nurafshon

(Home)
26 Nov
Istiklol Fergana
2 : 1
Nurafshon
01 Nov
FK Yozyovon
0 : 0
Nurafshon
29 Oct
Norin Haqqulobod
0 : 0
Nurafshon
24 Oct
Nurafshon
6 : 0
Xorazm Urganch
21 Oct
Nurafshon
1 : 0
Aral
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Osiyo Tashkent

(Away)
01 Nov
FK Yangiyer
4 : 1
Osiyo Tashkent
24 Oct
Din. Gallakor
2 : 2
Osiyo Tashkent
21 Oct
Zaamin
2 : 1
Osiyo Tashkent
15 Oct
Osiyo Tashkent
2 : 0
Lokomotiv BFK
12 Oct
Osiyo Tashkent
1 : 2
Khotira 79
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Din. Samarkand 32 26 4 2 86:19 82
2 Norin Haqqulobod 32 24 3 5 63:29 75
3 Sementchi Kuvasoy 32 23 5 4 69:19 74
4 Uz Dong Ju Andijon 32 17 4 11 67:58 55
5 Osiyo Tashkent 32 15 6 11 63:46 51
6 Nasaf Qarshi II 32 15 1 16 61:62 46
7 Xorazm Urganch 32 12 6 14 56:50 42
8 Nurafshon 32 13 2 17 56:61 41
9 Mashal Muborak II 32 11 8 13 46:59 41
10 Aral 32 12 2 18 71:88 38
11 FK Yozyovon 32 11 5 16 58:76 38
12 Zaamin 32 10 6 16 44:59 36
13 Lokomotiv BFK 32 10 5 17 55:66 35
14 Khotira 79 32 10 3 19 51:78 33
15 Gijduvon 32 9 5 18 51:93 32
16 FK Kasansay 32 9 4 19 42:63 31
17 Pakhtakor II 32 7 7 18 49:62 28
18 Oktepa Tashkent 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
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