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Nurnberg II vs Eltersdorf

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Club Friendly
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AI Match Summary

Nurnberg II play Eltersdorf in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Nurnberg II averaged 2.24 goals scored and 1.14 conceded. Eltersdorf averaged 1.86 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, Nurnberg II won 3, Eltersdorf won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 18, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.81 for Nurnberg II and 1.44 for Eltersdorf. This points to a Nurnberg II double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Nurnberg II
17%
Draws
38%
Eltersdorf
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Nurnberg II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Nurnberg II picked up more points recently compared to Eltersdorf.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.81 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
Nurnberg II Clean Sheet 16%
Eltersdorf Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nurnberg II Eltersdorf
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 19
Draws 8 2
Losses 3 8
Goals Scored 2.24 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Nurnberg II vs Eltersdorf
2:1
Apr 29, 2022 Regionalliga Bayern
Eltersdorf vs Nurnberg II
3:3
Oct 2, 2021 Regionalliga Bayern
Nurnberg II vs Eltersdorf
1:3
Feb 12, 2020 Club Friendly
Nurnberg II vs Eltersdorf
5:1
Nov 2, 2012 Regionalliga Bayern
Eltersdorf vs Nurnberg II
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nurnberg II 44 / 100
Eltersdorf 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nurnberg II Eltersdorf

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Nurnberg II or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21.5%
2.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Nurnberg II attacking → ← attacking Eltersdorf

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nurnberg II scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Eltersdorf let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Nurnberg II went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Eltersdorf lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Friendly match. Both teams will likely test tactics and rotate squads rather than push for a result.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

62 Points in last 5 59
2.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88