Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nurnberg vs Dresden

Germany Germany

2. Bundesliga Max-Morlock-Stadion, Nuremberg
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Zoma M. A.
Assist: Becker F.
45' Event
Zoma M. A.
46'
Sub
Sterner J. In: Straudi S.
Out: Sterner J.

AI Match Summary

Nurnberg in this 2. Bundesliga matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nurnberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Nurnberg
15%
Draws
35%
Dresden
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nurnberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Nurnberg haven't matched Dresden's recent run of results.
  • Nurnberg are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Nurnberg Clean Sheet 10%
Dresden Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nurnberg Dresden
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 15
Draws 8 4
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 2.1 2.27
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 2. Bundesliga
Nurnberg vs Dresden
3:0
Apr 11, 2026 2. Bundesliga
Nurnberg vs Dresden
0:2
Nov 7, 2025 2. Bundesliga
Dresden vs Nurnberg
1:2
Mar 20, 2022 2. Bundesliga
Nurnberg vs Dresden
1:1
Oct 17, 2021 2. Bundesliga
Dresden vs Nurnberg
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nurnberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Zoma M. A.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Dresden Compare

Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nurnberg 74 / 100
Dresden 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nurnberg Dresden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nurnberg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 8:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nurnberg scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: Nurnberg remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Dresden has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Nurnberg VS Dresden
3.63 Goals Scored 3.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nurnberg

(Home)
09 Aug
Nurnberg
3 : 0
Dresden
01 Aug
Nurnberg
2 : 1
Real Oviedo
25 Jul
Palermo
2 : 2
Nurnberg
18 Jul
Nurnberg
3 : 2
Mannheim
11 Jul
Ansbach
1 : 5
Nurnberg
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Dresden

(Away)
09 Aug
Nurnberg
3 : 0
Dresden
01 Aug
Dresden
2 : 1
Union Berlin
25 Jul
Dresden
2 : 1
Energie Cottbus
25 Jul
Dresden
1 : 2
Energie Cottbus
18 Jul
Grazer AK
0 : 5
Dresden
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nurnberg 2 2 0 0 7:2 6
2 Hertha Berlin 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
3 Karlsruher 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
4 Braunschweig 2 1 0 1 6:2 3
5 Energie Cottbus 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
6 Bochum 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
7 Heidenheim 2 1 0 1 5:7 3
8 Magdeburg 2 1 0 1 4:6 3
9 Holstein Kiel 2 0 2 0 4:4 2
10 St. Pauli 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
11 Kaiserslautern 2 0 2 0 0:0 2
12 Darmstadt 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
13 Wolfsburg 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
14 Greuther Furth 2 0 1 1 3:5 1
15 Arminia Bielefeld 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
16 Hannover 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
17 Dresden 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
18 VfL Osnabruck 2 0 0 2 3:7 0
Promotion - Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)