Sport Picks
Match Events
9'
9'
Zoma M. A.
Assist: Becker F.
45'
45'
Zoma M. A.
46'
46'
Sub
Sterner J. In: Straudi S.
Out: Sterner J.
AI Match Summary
Nurnberg in this 2. Bundesliga matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nurnberg.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
74%
20%
6%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nurnberg
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
74%
/ High Confidence
- Dresden haven't matched Nurnberg's recent run of results.
- Nurnberg are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Nurnberg Clean Sheet 14%
Dresden Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nurnberg | Dresden |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 14 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 5 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.34 | 2.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.25 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 9, 2026 2. Bundesliga
Nurnberg vs Dresden
3:0
Apr 11, 2026 2. Bundesliga
Nurnberg vs Dresden
0:2
Nov 7, 2025 2. Bundesliga
Dresden vs Nurnberg
1:2
Mar 20, 2022 2. Bundesliga
Nurnberg vs Dresden
1:1
Oct 17, 2021 2. Bundesliga
Dresden vs Nurnberg
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nurnberg Compare
Top Goalscorer Zoma M. A.
3 Goals Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13
Dresden Compare
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nurnberg 84 / 100
Dresden 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nurnberg Dresden
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Nurnberg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 8:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nurnberg scored in 90% of their last 29 games.
Solid form: Nurnberg remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Dresden has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Nurnberg VS Dresden
2.63 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Nurnberg
(Home) 02 Oct
Nurnberg
3 : 1 Ingolstadt
19 Sept
Karlsruher
0 : 1 Nurnberg
11 Sept
Nurnberg
2 : 1 Hannover
05 Sept
Holstein Kiel
2 : 2 Nurnberg
29 Aug
Nurnberg
4 : 1 Arminia Bielefeld
Page 1 of 6
02 Oct
Nurnberg
3 : 1 Ingolstadt
11 Sept
Nurnberg
2 : 1 Hannover
29 Aug
Nurnberg
4 : 1 Arminia Bielefeld
09 Aug
Nurnberg
3 : 0 Dresden
01 Aug
Nurnberg
2 : 1 Real Oviedo
Page 1 of 3
Dresden
(Away) 02 Oct
Teplice
2 : 0 Dresden
19 Sept
Dresden
1 : 2 Hertha Berlin
12 Sept
Braunschweig
2 : 2 Dresden
05 Sept
Dresden
1 : 2 Bochum
29 Aug
Heidenheim
5 : 3 Dresden
Page 1 of 6
02 Oct
Teplice
2 : 0 Dresden
12 Sept
Braunschweig
2 : 2 Dresden
29 Aug
Heidenheim
5 : 3 Dresden
23 Aug
Westfalia Rhynern
0 : 6 Dresden
09 Aug
Nurnberg
3 : 0 Dresden
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha Berlin | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17:7 | 18 |
| 2 | Nurnberg | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16:6 | 16 |
| 3 | Heidenheim | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:12 | 13 |
| 4 | Wolfsburg | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 15:8 | 11 |
| 5 | Kaiserslautern | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 11 |
| 6 | Magdeburg | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:9 | 10 |
| 7 | Energie Cottbus | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14:13 | 8 |
| 8 | St. Pauli | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 8:8 | 7 |
| 9 | Bochum | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:6 | 7 |
| 10 | Hannover | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:9 | 7 |
| 11 | VfL Osnabruck | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:12 | 7 |
| 12 | Greuther Furth | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:11 | 6 |
| 13 | Arminia Bielefeld | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10:12 | 5 |
| 14 | Karlsruher | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:12 | 5 |
| 15 | Braunschweig | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12:13 | 4 |
| 16 | Holstein Kiel | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7:10 | 4 |
| 17 | Dresden | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8:14 | 4 |
| 18 | Darmstadt | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:13 | 4 |
Promotion - Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
