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Stadium Background

Nurnberg vs Schalke - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 Max-Morlock-Stadion, Nuremberg
Nurnberg Logo

Nurnberg

3 - 0
FT
Schalke Logo

Schalke

Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Schallenberg R.
Own Goal
37'
Becker V.
45' Event
Koudossou H.
Assist: Gruber F.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 game between Nurnberg and Schalke finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nurnberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Nurnberg
30%
Draws
32%
Schalke
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nurnberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Schalke carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Nurnberg Clean Sheet 18%
Schalke Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nurnberg Schalke
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 16 17
Draws 8 6
Losses 4 6
Goals Scored 2.43 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 2. Bundesliga
Nurnberg vs Schalke
3:0
Dec 14, 2025 2. Bundesliga
Schalke vs Nurnberg
1:0
Jan 25, 2025 2. Bundesliga
Schalke vs Nurnberg
3:1
Aug 10, 2024 2. Bundesliga
Nurnberg vs Schalke
3:1
Apr 13, 2024 2. Bundesliga
Schalke vs Nurnberg
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nurnberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Koudossou H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zoma M. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Schalke Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nurnberg 32 / 100
Schalke 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nurnberg Schalke

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Nurnberg scored in 93% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Nurnberg stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Schalke conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Nurnberg VS Schalke
2.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nurnberg

(Home)
02 Oct
Nurnberg
3 : 1
Ingolstadt
19 Sept
Karlsruher
0 : 1
Nurnberg
11 Sept
Nurnberg
2 : 1
Hannover
05 Sept
Holstein Kiel
2 : 2
Nurnberg
29 Aug
Nurnberg
4 : 1
Arminia Bielefeld
Page 1 of 6

Schalke

(Away)
03 Oct
A. Lustenau
0 : 1
Schalke
24 Sept
Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
2 : 5
Schalke
20 Sept
Schalke
0 : 0
Elversberg
11 Sept
Union Berlin
1 : 3
Schalke
05 Sept
Schalke
0 : 0
Bayern Munich
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Schalke 34 21 7 6 50:31 70
2 Elversberg 34 18 8 8 64:39 62
3 Paderborn 34 18 8 8 59:45 62
4 Hannover 34 16 12 6 60:44 60
5 Darmstadt 34 13 13 8 57:45 52
6 Kaiserslautern 34 16 4 14 52:47 52
7 Hertha Berlin 34 14 9 11 47:44 51
8 Nurnberg 34 12 10 12 47:45 46
9 Bochum 34 11 11 12 49:47 44
10 Karlsruher 34 12 8 14 53:64 44
11 Dresden 34 11 8 15 54:53 41
12 Holstein Kiel 34 11 8 15 44:48 41
13 Arminia Bielefeld 34 10 9 15 53:51 39
14 Magdeburg 34 12 3 19 52:58 39
15 Braunschweig 34 10 7 17 36:54 37
16 Greuther Furth 34 10 7 17 49:68 37
17 Dusseldorf 34 11 4 19 33:53 37
18 Preussen Munster 34 6 12 16 38:61 30
Promotion - Bundesliga (Main)
Promotion - Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 3. Liga (Main)
Relegation - 3. Liga (Main)