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Nurnberg vs Wolfsburg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

2. Bundesliga Max-Morlock-Stadion, Nuremberg
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nurnberg host Wolfsburg in the 2. Bundesliga. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Wolfsburg have shipped 1.69 goals a game lately, while Nurnberg have conceded 1.21 and scored 2.34. Past meetings favor Wolfsburg slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 4, 2019, ending 2:0. The numbers (2.13 xG vs 1.69) point toward Nurnberg. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Nurnberg
20%
Draws
35%
Wolfsburg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nurnberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Wolfsburg haven't matched Nurnberg's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Nurnberg's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Wolfsburg have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Nurnberg Clean Sheet 13%
Wolfsburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nurnberg Wolfsburg
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 9
Draws 8 7
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 2.34 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2019 Bundesliga
Wolfsburg vs Nurnberg
2:0
Dec 14, 2018 Bundesliga
Nurnberg vs Wolfsburg
0:2
Dec 19, 2017 DFB Pokal
Nurnberg vs Wolfsburg
0:2
Apr 12, 2014 Bundesliga
Wolfsburg vs Nurnberg
4:1
Nov 23, 2013 Bundesliga
Nurnberg vs Wolfsburg
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nurnberg 35 / 100
Wolfsburg 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nurnberg Wolfsburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Nurnberg scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Wolfsburg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Nurnberg has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Nurnberg VS Wolfsburg
2.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Nurnberg

(Home)
19 Sept
Karlsruher
0 : 1
Nurnberg
11 Sept
Nurnberg
2 : 1
Hannover
05 Sept
Holstein Kiel
2 : 2
Nurnberg
29 Aug
Nurnberg
4 : 1
Arminia Bielefeld
22 Aug
FC Viktoria Koln
1 : 2
Nurnberg
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Wolfsburg

(Away)
18 Sept
Wolfsburg
5 : 1
Darmstadt
12 Sept
St. Pauli
1 : 0
Wolfsburg
05 Sept
Wolfsburg
4 : 4
Energie Cottbus
29 Aug
Karlsruher
2 : 5
Wolfsburg
24 Aug
Altglienicke
3 : 4
Wolfsburg
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hertha Berlin 6 6 0 0 17:7 18
2 Nurnberg 6 5 1 0 16:6 16
3 Heidenheim 6 4 1 1 14:12 13
4 Wolfsburg 6 3 2 1 15:8 11
5 Kaiserslautern 6 3 2 1 6:4 11
6 Magdeburg 6 3 1 2 11:9 10
7 Energie Cottbus 6 2 2 2 14:13 8
8 St. Pauli 6 1 4 1 8:8 7
9 Bochum 6 2 1 3 5:6 7
10 Hannover 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
11 VfL Osnabruck 6 2 1 3 9:12 7
12 Greuther Furth 6 1 3 2 9:11 6
13 Arminia Bielefeld 6 1 2 3 10:12 5
14 Karlsruher 6 1 2 3 6:12 5
15 Braunschweig 6 1 1 4 12:13 4
16 Holstein Kiel 6 0 4 2 7:10 4
17 Dresden 6 1 1 4 8:14 4
18 Darmstadt 6 1 1 4 5:13 4
Promotion - Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)