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Nykobing vs VSK Aarhus

Denmark Denmark

2nd Division
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nykobing host VSK Aarhus in the 2nd Division. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Nykobing at 2.89 goals for, 0.96 against; VSK Aarhus at 1.52 for, 0.93 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (2.13 xG vs 1.38) point toward Nykobing. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Nykobing
30%
Draws
19%
VSK Aarhus
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nykobing

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nykobing lately — more wins on the board than VSK Aarhus.
  • Nykobing are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular 2nd Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Nykobing Clean Sheet 17%
VSK Aarhus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nykobing VSK Aarhus
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 24 12
Draws 4 11
Losses 0 6
Goals Scored 2.89 1.52
Goals Conceded 0.96 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nykobing 84 / 100
VSK Aarhus 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nykobing VSK Aarhus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nykobing Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nykobing's goal record stands at 96% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Nykobing went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

VSK Aarhus's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Away concern: VSK Aarhus has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nykobing VS VSK Aarhus
3.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nykobing

(Home)
26 Sept
Brabrand
1 : 1
Nykobing
18 Sept
Nykobing
3 : 0
Hellerup
13 Sept
Nykobing
3 : 1
Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000
09 Sept
Nykobing
6 : 5
Middelfart
06 Sept
Thisted FC
0 : 3
Nykobing
Page 1 of 6

VSK Aarhus

(Away)
26 Sept
VSK Aarhus
1 : 0
Skive
19 Sept
Middelfart
1 : 1
VSK Aarhus
13 Sept
VSK Aarhus
2 : 2
Boldklubben 1893
09 Sept
VSK Aarhus
0 : 2
Lyngby
05 Sept
Roskilde
1 : 0
VSK Aarhus
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nykobing 9 6 3 0 24:10 21
2 VSK Aarhus 9 5 3 1 14:5 18
3 Roskilde 9 3 6 0 16:10 15
4 Fremad Amager 9 3 5 1 13:12 14
5 Middelfart 8 3 4 1 15:8 13
6 Naestved IF 8 3 4 1 11:9 13
7 Boldklubben 1893 9 3 3 3 13:13 12
8 Skive 9 3 2 4 11:12 11
9 Hellerup 9 2 2 5 8:16 8
10 Brabrand 9 1 3 5 10:18 6
11 Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000 9 1 2 6 10:21 5
12 Thisted FC 9 1 1 7 8:19 4
Promotion - 2nd Division (Promotion Group)
Relegation - 2nd Division (Relegation Group)