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Nykopings vs Nacka FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Ahmetovic E.
40' Event
Blom M.
54' Event
Andbjer R.

AI Match Summary

Nykopings in this Division 2 - Södra Svealand matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nykopings.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Nykopings
20%
Draws
33%
Nacka FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nykopings

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nykopings lately — more wins on the board than Nacka FC.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Nykopings taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Nykopings have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Nykopings Clean Sheet 19%
Nacka FC Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nykopings Nacka FC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 8
Draws 4 3
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 1.55 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.24 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 25, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Nykopings vs Nacka FC
4:1
May 29, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Nacka FC vs Nykopings
0:2
Sep 8, 2024 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Nykopings vs Nacka FC
3:2
May 10, 2024 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Nacka FC vs Nykopings
1:4
Sep 10, 2023 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Nykopings vs Nacka FC
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nykopings Compare

Top Goalscorer Andbjer R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ahmetovic E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Nacka FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nykopings 85 / 100
Nacka FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nykopings Nacka FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nykopings Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nacka FC has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Nykopings scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Nykopings went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nykopings VS Nacka FC
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nykopings

(Home)
02 Oct
Smedby
1 : 1
Nykopings
26 Sept
Nykopings
1 : 0
Syrianska
19 Sept
Orebro Syrianska
1 : 0
Nykopings
13 Sept
Nykopings
3 : 0
Eker Orebro
05 Sept
Lindo FF
0 : 3
Nykopings
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Nacka FC

(Away)
04 Oct
Nacka FC
1 : 4
Karlslund
26 Sept
Fittja IF
1 : 2
Nacka FC
19 Sept
Nacka FC
1 : 0
Ragsved
12 Sept
Sleipner
1 : 0
Nacka FC
05 Sept
Nacka FC
1 : 1
Smedby
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Farsta 24 14 4 6 49:26 46
2 Sleipner 24 13 6 5 49:36 45
3 Forward 24 13 5 6 45:29 44
4 Nykopings 24 13 4 7 39:23 43
5 Haninge 24 13 4 7 58:45 43
6 Ragsved 24 11 6 7 45:37 39
7 Smedby 24 10 6 8 41:33 36
8 Fittja IF 24 10 3 11 37:38 33
9 Karlslund 24 8 7 9 37:38 31
10 Orebro Syrianska 24 8 4 12 27:29 28
11 Syrianska 24 7 5 12 38:52 26
12 Nacka FC 24 7 3 14 26:45 24
13 Lindo FF 24 6 2 16 32:50 20
14 Eker Orebro 24 4 3 17 29:71 15
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Svealand (Relegation)