Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nykopings vs Nacka FC

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nykopings play Nacka FC in the Division 2 - Södra Svealand. Nykopings are favorites here. Recently, Nykopings averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. Nacka FC averaged 1.7 goals scored and 2.23 conceded. In past meetings, Nykopings won 5, Nacka FC won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 25, 2026 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.00 for Nykopings and 0.76 for Nacka FC. This points to a Nykopings double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Nykopings
15%
Draws
25%
Nacka FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nykopings

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence
  • Nykopings picked up more points recently compared to Nacka FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.00 vs 0.76 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
Nykopings Clean Sheet 27%
Nacka FC Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nykopings Nacka FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 9
Draws 6 2
Losses 8 19
Goals Scored 1.8 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.17 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 25, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Nykopings vs Nacka FC
4:1
May 29, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Nacka FC vs Nykopings
0:2
Sep 8, 2024 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Nykopings vs Nacka FC
3:2
May 10, 2024 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Nacka FC vs Nykopings
1:4
Sep 10, 2023 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Nykopings vs Nacka FC
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nykopings Compare

Top Goalscorer Andbjer R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ahmetovic E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Nacka FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nykopings 59 / 100
Nacka FC 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nykopings Nacka FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nykopings Win (1)
Secondary Pick Nykopings & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Nykopings attacking → ← attacking Nacka FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nykopings scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Nacka FC let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Nykopings went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Nacka FC lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

54 Points in last 5 29
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Nykopings1492327:1229
2Forward1492329:1829
3Haninge1491436:2628
4Farsta1481530:1725
5Sleipner1474326:2625
6Smedby1472529:2123
7Ragsved1464430:2322
8Fittja IF1462627:2720
9Orebro Syrianska1451816:1616
10Lindo FF1451821:2316
11Eker Orebro1442817:3614
12Karlslund1434715:2313
13Syrianska1433820:3512
14Nacka FC14211113:337