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Nyuki vs Motema Pembe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

DR Congo DR Congo

Ligue 1 2019/2020
Sat, Jan 18, 2020
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nyuki host Motema Pembe in the Ligue 1 2019/2020. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Motema Pembe have shipped 0.96 goals a game lately, while Nyuki have conceded 2.59 and scored 0.68. Past meetings favor Motema Pembe slightly — 0-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 18, 2020, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.10 - 1.18) back Motema Pembe to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Nyuki
30%
Draws
39%
Motema Pembe
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Motema Pembe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Motema Pembe have won more games recently than Nyuki.
  • Nyuki are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Motema Pembe here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Nyuki Clean Sheet 20%
Motema Pembe Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nyuki Motema Pembe
Matches Played 22 27
Wins 3 8
Draws 3 14
Losses 16 5
Goals Scored 0.68 1.41
Goals Conceded 2.59 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2020 Ligue 1
Nyuki vs Motema Pembe
0:0
Oct 3, 2019 Ligue 1
Motema Pembe vs Nyuki
5:1
Mar 18, 2019 Ligue 1
Nyuki vs Motema Pembe
1:2
Oct 10, 2018 Ligue 1
Motema Pembe vs Nyuki
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nyuki 49 / 100
Motema Pembe 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nyuki Motema Pembe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nyuki Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Motema Pembe has conceded goals in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Nyuki's goal record stands at 45% scoring rate across 22 recent games.

Nyuki went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Motema Pembe
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nyuki

(Home)
12 Mar
Nyuki
3 : 0
Sanga Balende
27 Feb
Nyuki
1 : 1
AC Rangers
23 Feb
Nyuki
1 : 3
OC Renaissance
09 Feb
Nyuki
1 : 5
Mazembe
03 Feb
AS Maniema
3 : 0
Nyuki
Page 1 of 5

Motema Pembe

(Away)
18 Apr
AS Maniema
3 : 0
Motema Pembe
15 Apr
Etoile de Kivu
1 : 5
Motema Pembe
11 Apr
Anges Verts
1 : 0
Motema Pembe
08 Apr
OC Renaissance
0 : 0
Motema Pembe
30 Mar
Motema Pembe
1 : 1
AS Vita Club
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazembe 20 17 2 1 48:9 53
2 AS Vita Club 23 13 9 1 40:12 48
3 AS Maniema 21 14 4 3 42:15 46
4 Motema Pembe 21 12 6 3 40:16 42
5 Groupe Bazano 19 11 4 4 21:11 37
6 OC Renaissance 24 11 4 9 32:29 37
7 AC Rangers 25 6 11 8 27:28 29
8 RCK 23 6 10 7 25:22 28
9 Lubumbashi Sport 23 7 6 10 18:20 27
10 Don Bosco 23 4 13 6 23:23 25
11 St Eloi Lupopo 22 5 9 8 24:25 24
12 Simba 22 6 4 12 15:31 22
13 Dauphins Noirs 22 4 6 12 12:32 18
14 Sanga Balende 19 4 5 10 17:35 17
15 Bukavu Dawa 23 4 2 17 15:49 14
16 Nyuki 22 3 3 16 15:57 12
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2020/2021 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2020/2021 (Qualification)