Sport Picks

Ukraine

Druha Liga 2011/2012

Yalpuh Bolhrad

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Nyva Ternopil play Yalpuh Bolhrad in the Druha Liga 2011/2012. Nyva Ternopil are favorites here. Recently, Nyva Ternopil averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.02 conceded. Yalpuh Bolhrad averaged 0.41 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. In past meetings, Nyva Ternopil won 1, Yalpuh Bolhrad won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Nov 5, 2011 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Nyva Ternopil and 1.19 for Yalpuh Bolhrad. This points to a Nyva Ternopil double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%

Nyva Ternopil

22%

Draws

16%

Yalpuh Bolhrad

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Nyva Ternopil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence

Nyva Ternopil picked up more points recently compared to Yalpuh Bolhrad.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 1.19 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 49%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%

Nyva Ternopil Clean Sheet 20%

Yalpuh Bolhrad Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 62%

Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Nyva Ternopil	Yalpuh Bolhrad
Matches Played	40	27
Wins	12	2
Draws	13	1
Losses	15	24
Goals Scored	0.97	0.41
Goals Conceded	1.02	2.07

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 5, 2011 Druha Liga

Nyva Ternopil vs Yalpuh Bolhrad

Possession: 56% - 40% Cards: 1 - 2

1:1

Aug 6, 2011 Druha Liga

Yalpuh Bolhrad vs Nyva Ternopil

Possession: 46% - 49% Cards: 3 - 0

1:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nyva Ternopil 60 / 100

Yalpuh Bolhrad 17 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Nyva Ternopil Yalpuh Bolhrad

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nyva Ternopil Win (1)

Secondary Pick Nyva Ternopil & Under 3.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +14.7%

1.85

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.2%

2.33

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Nyva Ternopil attacking → ← attacking Yalpuh Bolhrad

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nyva Ternopil scored in 55% of their last 40 games.

Yalpuh Bolhrad let in goals in 100% of their last 17 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Nyva Ternopil went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Yalpuh Bolhrad lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low

Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

49 Points in last 5 7

0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sumy	26	21	3	2	51:13	66
2	Desna	26	18	5	3	48:19	59
3	Cherkashchyna	26	15	8	3	36:16	53
4	Nova Kakhovka	26	15	7	4	51:18	52
5	UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka	26	14	6	6	43:25	48
6	Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (2004)	26	11	6	9	40:32	33
7	Real Pharma Odesa	26	9	6	11	28:41	33
8	Krystal	26	9	5	12	30:32	32
9	Skala Stryj	26	8	4	14	26:36	28
10	FK Dynamo Khmelnytskyi	26	6	4	16	23:50	22
11	Ch. Odesa 2	26	5	5	16	19:20	20
12	Nyva Ternopil	26	9	6	11	30:41	18
13	Yednist	26	3	6	17	19:57	15
14	Yalpuh Bolhrad	26	2	1	23	10:54	7

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	SC Poltava	26	18	5	3	50:19	59
2	Kramatorsk 2	26	19	1	6	41:15	58
3	Shakhter Sverdlovsk	26	15	6	5	49:23	51
4	Kryvbas Krivoy Rog	26	16	3	7	44:22	51
5	Kremin	26	16	3	7	34:23	51
6	Stal Kamianske	26	15	3	8	34:19	48
7	Myr Hornostajivka	26	13	7	6	36:26	46
8	Shakhtar 3	26	10	1	15	46:56	31
9	Hirnyk-Sport	26	6	8	12	28:39	26
10	FC Sevastopol 2	26	7	3	16	26:51	24
11	Dnipro II	26	6	5	15	24:45	23
12	SK Metalurh Zaporizhya 2	26	5	3	18	19:43	18
13	FC Mariupol II	26	5	2	19	25:47	17
14	FC Nikopol	26	5	2	19	20:48	17