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Nyva Vinnytsya vs Lisne Prediction & H2H Stats

Ukraine Ukraine

Druha Liga 2025/2026
Sat, May 16, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nyva Vinnytsya host Lisne in the Druha Liga 2025/2026. This one's hard to separate. Lisne have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while Nyva Vinnytsya have conceded 0.94 and scored 1.36. Past meetings favor Nyva Vinnytsya slightly — 1-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 16, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.97 - 1.31) back Nyva Vinnytsya to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Nyva Vinnytsya
15%
Draws
0%
Lisne
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nyva Vinnytsya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nyva Vinnytsya lately — more wins on the board than Lisne.
  • Nyva Vinnytsya are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Nyva Vinnytsya Clean Sheet 18%
Lisne Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nyva Vinnytsya Lisne
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 17 9
Draws 7 2
Losses 9 20
Goals Scored 1.36 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.94 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Druha Liga
Nyva Vinnytsya vs Lisne
0:0
Nov 23, 2025 Druha Liga
Lisne vs Nyva Vinnytsya
0:0
Sep 19, 2025 Druha Liga
Nyva Vinnytsya vs Lisne
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nyva Vinnytsya 67 / 100
Lisne 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nyva Vinnytsya Lisne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nyva Vinnytsya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lisne has conceded goals in 89% of their last 18 outings.

Lisne lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Nyva Vinnytsya found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Recent resilience: Nyva Vinnytsya stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nyva Vinnytsya VS Lisne
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nyva Vinnytsya

(Home)
26 Sept
Nyva Vinnytsya
2 : 0
Dnister Zalishchyky
19 Sept
Dinaz Vyshgorod
0 : 1
Nyva Vinnytsya
10 Sept
Nyva Vinnytsya
0 : 1
Dynamo Kyiv
04 Sept
Nyva Vinnytsya
4 : 1
Nyva Ternopil 2
29 Aug
Bratslav Vinnytsia
0 : 0
Nyva Vinnytsya
Page 1 of 7

Lisne

(Away)
23 May
Lisne
:
Skala 1911
16 May
Nyva Vinnytsya
:
Lisne
10 May
Lisne
:
Nyva Ternopil 2
06 May
Zhytomyr 2
:
Lisne
02 May
Lisne
:
Kulikiv
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kulikiv 30 21 5 4 58:18 68
2 Zhytomyr 2 30 18 9 3 69:22 63
3 Nyva Vinnytsya 30 15 6 9 42:32 51
4 Nyva Ternopil 2 30 16 2 12 30:43 50
5 Atlet Kiev 30 14 4 12 45:48 46
6 FC Uzhhorod 30 13 5 12 40:37 44
7 Skala 1911 30 13 5 12 62:48 44
8 FC Vilkhivtsi 30 12 5 13 50:46 41
9 Bukovyna 2 30 7 6 17 31:57 27
10 Real Pharma Odesa 30 1 4 25 18:96 7
11 Lisne 30 8 3 19 32:30 27
Promotion - Persha Liga (Main)
Promotion - Druha Liga 2025/2026 (Additional match)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lokomotyv Kyiv 30 22 4 4 65:16 70
2 Kolos Kovalivka 2 30 21 6 3 64:22 69
3 Chaika Petropavlivska Borshchahivka 30 17 6 7 58:41 57
4 Rebel Kyiv 30 15 5 10 34:27 50
5 Livyi Bereg 2 30 13 9 8 50:28 48
6 Trostyanets 30 13 8 9 46:31 47
7 Oleksandriya 2 30 12 8 10 37:32 44
8 Ch. Odesa 2 30 5 9 16 25:56 24
9 Dinaz Vyshgorod 30 5 4 21 26:62 19
10 Penuel Kryvyi Rih 30 3 8 19 27:64 17
11 Hirnyk-Sport 30 3 5 22 20:73 14
Promotion - Persha Liga (Main)
Promotion - Druha Liga 2025/2026 (Additional match)