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Nyva Vinnytsya vs Rukh Lviv - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ukraine Ukraine

Ukrainian Cup
Sat, Aug 22, 2026
3 - 2
01:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Vlasenko A.
36' Event
Fedushko A.
41' Event
Fedushko A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-2. The second leg ended 3-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Nyva Vinnytsya
15%
Draws
0%
Rukh Lviv
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nyva Vinnytsya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nyva Vinnytsya come out ahead of Rukh Lviv on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Nyva Vinnytsya's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Nyva Vinnytsya have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Nyva Vinnytsya, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Nyva Vinnytsya Clean Sheet 16%
Rukh Lviv Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nyva Vinnytsya Rukh Lviv
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 2
Draws 7 3
Losses 7 24
Goals Scored 1.52 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.97 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Ukrainian Cup
Nyva Vinnytsya vs Rukh Lviv
3:2
Aug 1, 2026 Druha Liga
Nyva Vinnytsya vs Rukh Lviv
2:1
Jul 16, 2022 Club Friendly
Rukh Lviv vs Nyva Vinnytsya
5:0
May 8, 2017 Druha Liga
Nyva Vinnytsya vs Rukh Lviv
2:0
Oct 1, 2016 Druha Liga
Rukh Lviv vs Nyva Vinnytsya
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nyva Vinnytsya Compare

Top Goalscorer Vlasenko A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Rukh Lviv Compare

Top Goalscorer Fedushko A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nyva Vinnytsya 84 / 100
Rukh Lviv 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nyva Vinnytsya Rukh Lviv

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nyva Vinnytsya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Nyva Vinnytsya scored in 81% of their last 27 outings.

Defensive concern: Rukh Lviv conceded in 97% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Rukh Lviv has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nyva Vinnytsya VS Rukh Lviv
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nyva Vinnytsya

(Home)
03 Oct
Skala 1911
2 : 2
Nyva Vinnytsya
26 Sept
Nyva Vinnytsya
2 : 0
Dnister Zalishchyky
19 Sept
Dinaz Vyshgorod
0 : 1
Nyva Vinnytsya
10 Sept
Nyva Vinnytsya
0 : 1
Dynamo Kyiv
04 Sept
Nyva Vinnytsya
4 : 1
Nyva Ternopil 2
Page 1 of 6

Rukh Lviv

(Away)
04 Oct
Rukh Lviv
2 : 3
Bratslav Vinnytsia
27 Sept
FC Vilkhivtsi
2 : 1
Rukh Lviv
20 Sept
Rukh Lviv
2 : 3
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
14 Sept
Nyva Ternopil 2
1 : 0
Rukh Lviv
05 Sept
Skala 1911
1 : 0
Rukh Lviv
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Ch. Odesa 0
FC Vilkhivtsi 1
TBD -
Shakhtar -
Nyva Vinnytsya 3
Rukh Lviv 2
Dynamo Kyiv -
TBD -
Bukovyna 4
Nyva Ternopil 0
TBD -
LNZ Cherkasy -
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 1
Victoria 3
Penuel Kryvyi Rih 0
Metalist Kharkiv 1
Kolos Polonne 1
Trostyanets 2
LSTM Lutsk 1
FC Chernihiv 2
Karbon Cherkasy 1
Pokuttia Kolomyia 0
Epitsentr 2
To4ka Odessa 1
TBD -
Polissya Zhytomyr -
Lozova 1
Kudrivka 6
Novyi Rozdil 2
Atlet Kiev 1
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka 2
Vilkhivtsi Ivano Frankivsk 1
Mayak Sarny 1
SC Poltava 0
Druzhba-Kozaky 3
Bazys Kochubiyivka 5
Reshetylivka 1
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 4
FC Kharkiv 9
Kalynivka 0
Dinaz Vyshgorod 0
Fenix Mariupol 6
Skala 1911 0
Zorya 6
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 1
Olympia Savyntsi 2
Kryvbas 3
Rokyta 0
Kolos Kovalivka 3
UCSA 0
Karpaty Lviv 2
Obolon 0
Lokomotyv Kyiv 1
Probiy Horodenka 3
Bratslav Vinnytsia 0
Oleksandriya 2
Rebel Kyiv 0
Ahrobiznes Volochysk 4
Dnister Zalishchyky 0
Livyi Bereg 3
Kulikiv 2
Palmira Odesa 1
Veres Rivne 4
Inhulets 1
1/16-finals
FC Vilkhivtsi 0
Shakhtar 3
Nyva Vinnytsya 0
Dynamo Kyiv 1
Bukovyna 0
LNZ Cherkasy 1
Victoria 0
Metalist Kharkiv 1
Trostyanets 2
FC Chernihiv 4
Karbon Cherkasy 0
Epitsentr 3
Polissya Zhytomyr 2
Kudrivka 0
Novyi Rozdil 3
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka 1
Mayak Sarny 4
Bazys Kochubiyivka 1
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 0
FC Kharkiv 2
Fenix Mariupol 0
Zorya 2
Olympia Savyntsi 0
Kryvbas 2
Kolos Kovalivka 2
Karpaty Lviv 3
Probiy Horodenka 1
Oleksandriya 2
Ahrobiznes Volochysk 1
Livyi Bereg 2
Kulikiv 0
Veres Rivne 1
1/8-finals
Shakhtar -
Dynamo Kyiv -
LNZ Cherkasy -
Metalist Kharkiv -
FC Chernihiv -
Epitsentr -
Polissya Zhytomyr -
Novyi Rozdil -
Mayak Sarny -
FC Kharkiv -
Zorya -
Kryvbas -
Karpaty Lviv -
Oleksandriya -
Livyi Bereg -
Veres Rivne -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -