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Nyva Vinnytsya vs Zhytomyr 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ukraine Ukraine

Druha Liga 2025/2026
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Match Events

37' Event
Zagorulko A.
80' Event
Mykytyuk Y.

AI Match Summary

The Druha Liga 2025/2026 game between Nyva Vinnytsya and Zhytomyr 2 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Nyva Vinnytsya
30%
Draws
23%
Zhytomyr 2
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nyva Vinnytsya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nyva Vinnytsya come out ahead of Zhytomyr 2 on wins alone.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Nyva Vinnytsya taking it.
  • Regular Druha Liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Zhytomyr 2 here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Nyva Vinnytsya Clean Sheet 20%
Zhytomyr 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nyva Vinnytsya Zhytomyr 2
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 15 11
Draws 7 9
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.52 1.81
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Druha Liga
Nyva Vinnytsya vs Zhytomyr 2
1:1
Oct 24, 2025 Druha Liga
Nyva Vinnytsya vs Zhytomyr 2
0:2
Aug 16, 2025 Druha Liga
Zhytomyr 2 vs Nyva Vinnytsya
2:1
Jul 20, 2024 Club Friendly
Zhytomyr 2 vs Nyva Vinnytsya
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nyva Vinnytsya Compare

Top Goalscorer Zagorulko A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Zhytomyr 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mykytyuk Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nyva Vinnytsya 85 / 100
Zhytomyr 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nyva Vinnytsya Zhytomyr 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nyva Vinnytsya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nyva Vinnytsya's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Zhytomyr 2 let in goals in 65% of their last 26 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Nyva Vinnytsya stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nyva Vinnytsya VS Zhytomyr 2
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nyva Vinnytsya

(Home)
03 Oct
Skala 1911
2 : 2
Nyva Vinnytsya
26 Sept
Nyva Vinnytsya
2 : 0
Dnister Zalishchyky
19 Sept
Dinaz Vyshgorod
0 : 1
Nyva Vinnytsya
10 Sept
Nyva Vinnytsya
0 : 1
Dynamo Kyiv
04 Sept
Nyva Vinnytsya
4 : 1
Nyva Ternopil 2
Page 1 of 6

Zhytomyr 2

(Away)
03 Oct
Lokomotyv Kyiv
3 : 3
Zhytomyr 2
28 Sept
Zhytomyr 2
0 : 3
Kolos Kovalivka 2
20 Sept
Fenix Mariupol
2 : 1
Zhytomyr 2
14 Sept
Zhytomyr 2
3 : 2
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
05 Sept
Victoria
1 : 1
Zhytomyr 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kulikiv 30 21 5 4 58:18 68
2 Zhytomyr 2 30 18 9 3 69:22 63
3 Nyva Vinnytsya 30 15 6 9 42:32 51
4 Nyva Ternopil 2 30 16 2 12 30:43 50
5 Atlet Kiev 30 14 4 12 45:48 46
6 FC Uzhhorod 30 13 5 12 40:37 44
7 Skala 1911 30 13 5 12 62:48 44
8 FC Vilkhivtsi 30 12 5 13 50:46 41
9 Bukovyna 2 30 7 6 17 31:57 27
10 Real Pharma Odesa 30 1 4 25 18:96 7
11 Lisne 30 8 3 19 32:30 27
Promotion - Persha Liga (Main)
Promotion - Druha Liga 2025/2026 (Additional match)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lokomotyv Kyiv 30 22 4 4 65:16 70
2 Kolos Kovalivka 2 30 21 6 3 64:22 69
3 Chaika Petropavlivska Borshchahivka 30 17 6 7 58:41 57
4 Rebel Kyiv 30 15 5 10 34:27 50
5 Livyi Bereg 2 30 13 9 8 50:28 48
6 Trostyanets 30 13 8 9 46:31 47
7 Oleksandriya 2 30 12 8 10 37:32 44
8 Ch. Odesa 2 30 5 9 16 25:56 24
9 Dinaz Vyshgorod 30 5 4 21 26:62 19
10 Penuel Kryvyi Rih 30 3 8 19 27:64 17
11 Hirnyk-Sport 30 3 5 22 20:73 14
Promotion - Persha Liga (Main)
Promotion - Druha Liga 2025/2026 (Additional match)